GNRL
Gujarat Natural Resources Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Gujarat Natural Resources Limited (GNRL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about GNRL, and the method behind each one.
Gujarat Natural Resources Limited (GNRL) trades at ₹104,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, Gujarat Natural Resources Limited (GNRL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 83.0× earnings, ROE of 5.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GNRL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How GNRL ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener
- GNRL's market cap of 1,602 Cr ranks in the 59th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- GNRL's book value of ₹14 ranks in the 13th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- GNRL's promoter holding of 1.9% ranks in the bottom 1% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- GNRL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 64.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- GNRL's 3-year revenue growth of 32.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- GNRL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06x is lower than 85% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
Is GNRL overvalued? GNRL P/E vs peers
GNRL trades at 83.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
GNRL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GNRL history (8%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNRL 2027 | ₹53 | ₹103 | ₹201 | -2% |
| GNRL 2028 | ₹39 | ₹102 | ₹265 | -4% |
| GNRL 2029 | ₹30 | ₹100 | ₹329 | -5% |
| GNRL 2030 | ₹25 | ₹98 | ₹389 | -7% |
| GNRL 2031 | ₹21 | ₹96 | ₹436 | -9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GNRL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GNRL
- Gujarat Natural Resources Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹329.
The bear case & risks
- GNRL's P/E of 83.0x is lower than 12% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- GNRL's return on equity of 5.5% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹30.
GNRL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years GNRL compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹53-₹201, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GNRL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GNRL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GNRL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GNRL price target & forecast page.
GNRL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GNRL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
GNRL MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GNRL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 38.09% | 2.6× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 37.42% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the GNRL MTF page.
About Gujarat Natural Resources Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Gujarat Natural Resources Limited (GNRL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,602 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GNRL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Natural Resources Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GNRL analysis, FAQs
Is Gujarat Natural Resources Limited (GNRL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Gujarat Natural Resources Limited (GNRL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 83.0× earnings, ROE of 5.5%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GNRL overvalued or undervalued?
GNRL trades at 83.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the GNRL share price target for 2031?
GNRL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹96, with an 80% range of ₹21-₹436 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GNRL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GNRL reaching ₹211 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for GNRL?
Gujarat Natural Resources Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GNRL?
GNRL's P/E of 83.0x is lower than 12% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. GNRL's return on equity of 5.5% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
More on GNRL
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.