GSEC10YEAR
Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF (GSEC10YEAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GSEC10YEAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF (GSEC10YEAR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 83% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GSEC10YEAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GSEC10YEAR history (7%/yr drift, 7%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSEC10YEAR 2027 | ₹29 | ₹32 | ₹36 | +7% |
| GSEC10YEAR 2028 | ₹30 | ₹35 | ₹40 | +15% |
| GSEC10YEAR 2029 | ₹32 | ₹37 | ₹44 | +23% |
| GSEC10YEAR 2030 | ₹33 | ₹40 | ₹48 | +32% |
| GSEC10YEAR 2031 | ₹34 | ₹43 | ₹53 | +42% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GSEC10YEAR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GSEC10YEAR
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 83% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹32 (+7%).
- Relatively low volatility (7%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹44.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹32.
GSEC10YEAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GSEC10YEAR compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 7%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹29–₹36, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GSEC10YEAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GSEC10YEAR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GSEC10YEAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GSEC10YEAR price target & forecast page.
GSEC10YEAR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GSEC10YEAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.0% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 20.0% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the GSEC10YEAR MTF page.
GSEC10YEAR vs peers,sector comparison
About Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF (GSEC10YEAR) is an NSE-listed company.
How the GSEC10YEAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GSEC10YEAR analysis, FAQs
Is Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF (GSEC10YEAR) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mirae AMC - MAGS813ETF (GSEC10YEAR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 83% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GSEC10YEAR overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for GSEC10YEAR are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the GSEC10YEAR share price target for 2031?
GSEC10YEAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹43, with an 80% range of ₹34–₹53 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GSEC10YEAR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GSEC10YEAR reaching ₹60 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for GSEC10YEAR?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 83% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹32 (+7%). Relatively low volatility (7%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in GSEC10YEAR?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.