Case study

GUJENERGY

Gujarat Energy Limited

Screens attractive1y model +8.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

83Score

Gujarat Energy Limited (GUJENERGY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about GUJENERGY, and the method behind each one.

Gujarat Energy Limited (GUJENERGY) trades at ₹269,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 83/100.

On the numbers, Gujarat Energy Limited (GUJENERGY) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 83/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.9× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GUJENERGY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹25,299 Cr
Current price
₹269
P/E ratio
12.9×
P/B ratio
1.00×
Book value
₹268
Dividend yield
2.16%
ROCE
18.5%
ROE
15.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GUJENERGY ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

Is GUJENERGY overvalued? GUJENERGY P/E vs peers

GUJENERGY trades at 12.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GUJENERGY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GUJENERGY history (7%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GUJENERGY 2027₹194₹289₹429+8%
GUJENERGY 2028₹179₹312₹545+17%
GUJENERGY 2029₹170₹337₹669+26%
GUJENERGY 2030₹165₹364₹800+36%
GUJENERGY 2031₹166₹393₹930+47%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GUJENERGY goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹535 within 5 years

The bull case for GUJENERGY

  • GUJENERGY's P/E of 12.9x is lower than 75% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.00×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • GUJENERGY's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • GUJENERGY's return on capital employed of 18.5% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • GUJENERGY's Piotroski F-Score of 6/8 ranks in the 86th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • GUJENERGY's dividend yield of 2.2% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹669.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹170.

GUJENERGY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GUJENERGY compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹194-₹429, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GUJENERGY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.0%
80% range₹194-₹429
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.0%
80% range₹170-₹669
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
47.0%
80% range₹166-₹930
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)33%

GUJENERGY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GUJENERGY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GUJENERGY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GUJENERGY price target & forecast page.

GUJENERGY Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GUJENERGY scores 6/8, financially strong this cycle.

GUJENERGY MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GUJENERGY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.15%2.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.15%2.8×
Groww35.34%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST35.15%2.8×
Kotak Neo50.00%2.0×
Paytm Money52.15%1.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST35.15%2.8×
Share India35.30%2.8×

Compare every broker on the GUJENERGY MTF page.

About Gujarat Energy Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gujarat Energy Limited (GUJENERGY) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹25,299 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GUJENERGY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Energy Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GUJENERGY analysis, FAQs

Is Gujarat Energy Limited (GUJENERGY) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gujarat Energy Limited (GUJENERGY) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 83/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.9× earnings, ROE of 15.8%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GUJENERGY overvalued or undervalued?

GUJENERGY trades at 12.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GUJENERGY share price target for 2031?

GUJENERGY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹393, with an 80% range of ₹166-₹930 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GUJENERGY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GUJENERGY reaching ₹535 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for GUJENERGY?

GUJENERGY's P/E of 12.9x is lower than 75% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.00×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. GUJENERGY's return on equity of 15.8% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GUJENERGY?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GUJENERGY

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.