GUJGASLTD
Gujarat Gas
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Gujarat Gas (GUJGASLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GUJGASLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Gujarat Gas (GUJGASLTD) trades at ₹373,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Gujarat Gas (GUJGASLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 13.2%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GUJGASLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GUJGASLTD overvalued? GUJGASLTD P/E vs its sector
GUJGASLTD's P/E of 19.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.56% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GUJGASLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GUJGASLTD history (-23%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUJGASLTD 2027 | ₹202 | ₹295 | ₹434 | -24% |
| GUJGASLTD 2028 | ₹132 | ₹224 | ₹384 | -42% |
| GUJGASLTD 2029 | ₹89 | ₹172 | ₹333 | -56% |
| GUJGASLTD 2030 | ₹61 | ₹132 | ₹283 | -66% |
| GUJGASLTD 2031 | ₹43 | ₹101 | ₹237 | -74% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GUJGASLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GUJGASLTD
- A 19.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Low price-to-book of 1.39×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- A healthy 13.2% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹333.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹89.
GUJGASLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GUJGASLTD compounded at -23%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹202–₹434, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GUJGASLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GUJGASLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GUJGASLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GUJGASLTD price target & forecast page.
GUJGASLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GUJGASLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GUJGASLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GUJGASLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.2% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.2% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the GUJGASLTD MTF page.
GUJGASLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About Gujarat Gas: sector, index & market-cap context
Gujarat Gas (GUJGASLTD) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹35,000 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the GUJGASLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Gas's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GUJGASLTD analysis, FAQs
Is Gujarat Gas (GUJGASLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Gujarat Gas (GUJGASLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.7× earnings, ROE of 13.2%, a 18% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GUJGASLTD overvalued or undervalued?
GUJGASLTD trades at 19.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GUJGASLTD share price target for 2031?
GUJGASLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹101, with an 80% range of ₹43–₹237 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GUJGASLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GUJGASLTD reaching ₹777 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for GUJGASLTD?
A 19.7× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 1.39×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A healthy 13.2% return on equity.
What are the risks in GUJGASLTD?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 18% chance of finishing above today's price.