HLVLTD
Hlv Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HLVLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) trades at ₹8,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 3.0× earnings, ROE of 47.2%, a 6% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HLVLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HLVLTD overvalued? HLVLTD P/E vs its sector
HLVLTD's P/E of 3.0× sits below the sector peer median of 14.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.
HLVLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HLVLTD history (-59%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLVLTD 2027 | ₹2 | ₹4 | ₹7 | -50% |
| HLVLTD 2028 | ₹1 | ₹2 | ₹4 | -75% |
| HLVLTD 2029 | ₹0 | ₹1 | ₹3 | -87% |
| HLVLTD 2030 | ₹0 | ₹0 | ₹2 | -94% |
| HLVLTD 2031 | ₹0 | ₹0 | ₹1 | -97% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HLVLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HLVLTD
- Trades at just 3.0× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.06×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- High return on equity (47.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 6% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹0.
HLVLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HLVLTD compounded at -59%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2-₹7, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HLVLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HLVLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HLVLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HLVLTD price target & forecast page.
HLVLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HLVLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HLVLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About Hlv Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹508 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HLVLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hlv Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HLVLTD analysis, FAQs
Is Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 3.0× earnings, ROE of 47.2%, a 6% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HLVLTD overvalued or undervalued?
HLVLTD trades at 3.0× earnings versus a peer median of 14.0×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the HLVLTD share price target for 2031?
HLVLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹0, with an 80% range of ₹0-₹1 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HLVLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HLVLTD reaching ₹15 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for HLVLTD?
Trades at just 3.0× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.06×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. High return on equity (47.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
What are the risks in HLVLTD?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 6% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.