Case study

HLVLTD

Hlv Limited

Screens attractive1y model +0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

72Score

Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about HLVLTD, and the method behind each one.

Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) trades at ₹7,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.

On the numbers, Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing inexpensive at 2.6× earnings, ROE of 47.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HLVLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹440 Cr
Current price
₹7
P/E ratio
2.6×
P/B ratio
0.92×
Book value
₹7
ROCE
7.8%
ROE
47.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How HLVLTD ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

Is HLVLTD overvalued? HLVLTD P/E vs peers

HLVLTD trades at 2.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

HLVLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HLVLTD history (-10%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HLVLTD 2027₹4₹7₹12+1%
HLVLTD 2028₹3₹7₹15+2%
HLVLTD 2029₹3₹7₹19+2%
HLVLTD 2030₹2₹7₹22+3%
HLVLTD 2031₹2₹7₹26+4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HLVLTD goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹13 within 5 years

The bull case for HLVLTD

  • HLVLTD's P/E of 2.6x is lower than 96% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.92×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • HLVLTD's return on equity of 47.2% ranks in the top 2% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹19.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3.

HLVLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HLVLTD compounded at -10%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4-₹12, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HLVLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹4-₹12
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹3-₹19
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹2-₹26
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)26%

HLVLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HLVLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HLVLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HLVLTD price target & forecast page.

HLVLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HLVLTD scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

HLVLTD MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HLVLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST100.00%1.0×

Compare every broker on the HLVLTD MTF page.

About Hlv Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹440 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HLVLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hlv Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HLVLTD analysis, FAQs

Is Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, Hlv Limited (HLVLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing inexpensive at 2.6× earnings, ROE of 47.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HLVLTD overvalued or undervalued?

HLVLTD trades at 2.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the HLVLTD share price target for 2031?

HLVLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7, with an 80% range of ₹2-₹26 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HLVLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HLVLTD reaching ₹13 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for HLVLTD?

HLVLTD's P/E of 2.6x is lower than 96% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.92×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. HLVLTD's return on equity of 47.2% ranks in the top 2% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in HLVLTD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on HLVLTD

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.