Case study

IDEA

VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model -3.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

32Score

VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED (IDEA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IDEA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED (IDEA) trades at ₹13,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100.

On the numbers, VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED (IDEA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing ROE of 10.0%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IDEA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.38L Cr
Current price
₹13
Book value
₹-3
ROCE
-1.7%
ROE
10.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How IDEA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for IDEA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

IDEA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of IDEA history (-16%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IDEA 2027₹6₹12₹24-3%
IDEA 2028₹5₹12₹31-6%
IDEA 2029₹4₹12₹38-9%
IDEA 2030₹3₹11₹43-12%
IDEA 2031₹2₹11₹50-15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IDEA goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
45%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹25 within 5 years

The bull case for IDEA

  • VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹38.

The bear case & risks

  • IDEA's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IDEA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹4.

IDEA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years IDEA compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹6-₹24, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IDEA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.1%
80% range₹6-₹24
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.1%
80% range₹4-₹38
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.6%
80% range₹2-₹50
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)24%

IDEA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IDEA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IDEA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IDEA price target & forecast page.

IDEA Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IDEA scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

IDEA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IDEA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox33.87%3.0×
Zerodha31.80%3.1×
Groww31.97%3.1×
Dhan30.32%3.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST30.30%3.3×
Paytm Money30.66%3.3×
Pocketful38.09%2.6×
Anand Rathi37.32%2.7×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India37.52%2.7×

Compare every broker on the IDEA MTF page.

IDEA vs peers,Telecom comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
IDEA (this stock)--₹1.38L Cr
BHARTIARTL39.2×1.22%₹12.23L Cr
RAILTEL49.4×1.13%₹9,261 Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
TCS16.5×2.61%₹8.87L Cr
HDFCBANK14.3×1.78%₹11.26L Cr
INFY15.3×4.08%₹4.77L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED (IDEA) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Telecom sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.38L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IDEA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IDEA analysis, FAQs

Is VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED (IDEA) a good buy?

On the numbers, VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED (IDEA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing ROE of 10.0%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IDEA overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for IDEA are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the IDEA share price target for 2031?

IDEA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹11, with an 80% range of ₹2-₹50 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IDEA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IDEA reaching ₹25 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for IDEA?

VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in IDEA?

IDEA's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IDEA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on IDEA