Case study

RAILTEL

Railtel Corporation Of India Limited

Tread carefully1y model +2.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

41Score

Railtel Corporation Of India Limited (RAILTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RAILTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Railtel Corporation Of India Limited (RAILTEL) trades at ₹289,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, Railtel Corporation Of India Limited (RAILTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 49.4× earnings, ROE of 12.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RAILTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹9,261 Cr
Current price
₹289
P/E ratio
49.4×
P/B ratio
5.38×
Book value
₹54
Dividend yield
1.13%
ROCE
16.2%
ROE
12.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How RAILTEL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is RAILTEL overvalued? RAILTEL P/E vs its Telecom

RAILTEL's P/E of 49.4× sits above the Telecom peer median of 16.5×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.13% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.22%.

RAILTEL P/E
49.4×
Peer median P/E
16.5×
RAILTEL div yield
1.13%
Peer median yield
1.22%

RAILTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.3y of RAILTEL history (16%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RAILTEL 2027₹168₹295₹518+2%
RAILTEL 2028₹135₹301₹672+4%
RAILTEL 2029₹114₹307₹829+6%
RAILTEL 2030₹103₹314₹956+9%
RAILTEL 2031₹93₹320₹1,102+11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RAILTEL goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹577 within 5 years

The bull case for RAILTEL

  • RAILTEL's return on equity of 12.0% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹829.

The bear case & risks

  • RAILTEL's P/E of 49.4x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹114.

RAILTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.3 years RAILTEL compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹168-₹518, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RAILTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.1%
80% range₹168-₹518
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.4%
80% range₹114-₹829
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.0%
80% range₹93-₹1,102
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)27%

RAILTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RAILTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RAILTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RAILTEL price target & forecast page.

RAILTEL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. RAILTEL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

RAILTEL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RAILTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.47%2.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.43%2.8×
Groww35.62%2.8×
Dhan35.43%2.8×
Kotak Neo35.46%2.8×
Paytm Money36.57%2.7×
Pocketful36.05%2.8×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST35.43%2.8×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India35.61%2.8×

Compare every broker on the RAILTEL MTF page.

RAILTEL vs peers,Telecom comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
RAILTEL (this stock)49.4×1.13%₹9,261 Cr
BHARTIARTL39.2×1.22%₹12.23L Cr
IDEA-3.3×0.00%₹1.38L Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
TCS16.5×2.61%₹8.87L Cr
HDFCBANK14.3×1.78%₹11.26L Cr
INFY15.3×4.08%₹4.77L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Railtel Corporation Of India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Railtel Corporation Of India Limited (RAILTEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the Telecom sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,261 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the RAILTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Railtel Corporation Of India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RAILTEL analysis, FAQs

Is Railtel Corporation Of India Limited (RAILTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Railtel Corporation Of India Limited (RAILTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 49.4× earnings, ROE of 12.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RAILTEL overvalued or undervalued?

RAILTEL trades at 49.4× earnings versus a peer median of 16.5×, so it screens richer than its Telecom peers.

What is the RAILTEL share price target for 2031?

RAILTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹320, with an 80% range of ₹93-₹1,102 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RAILTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RAILTEL reaching ₹577 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for RAILTEL?

RAILTEL's return on equity of 12.0% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in RAILTEL?

RAILTEL's P/E of 49.4x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on RAILTEL