RAILTEL
Railtel Corp of India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Railtel Corp of India (RAILTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is RAILTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Railtel Corp of India (RAILTEL) trades at ₹324,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.
On the numbers, Railtel Corp of India (RAILTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 55.4× earnings, ROE of 12.0%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
RAILTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is RAILTEL overvalued? RAILTEL P/E vs its Telecom
RAILTEL's P/E of 55.4× sits above the Telecom peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.88% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.88%.
RAILTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RAILTEL history (-22%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAILTEL 2027 | ₹129 | ₹230 | ₹417 | -28% |
| RAILTEL 2028 | ₹72 | ₹165 | ₹382 | -48% |
| RAILTEL 2029 | ₹43 | ₹117 | ₹327 | -63% |
| RAILTEL 2030 | ₹27 | ₹86 | ₹279 | -73% |
| RAILTEL 2031 | ₹16 | ₹62 | ₹228 | -81% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability RAILTEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for RAILTEL
- A healthy 12.0% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹327.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 55.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹43.
RAILTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years RAILTEL compounded at -22%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹129–₹417, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
RAILTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
RAILTEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds RAILTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the RAILTEL price target & forecast page.
RAILTEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. RAILTEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
RAILTEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RAILTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.6% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.6% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.6% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the RAILTEL MTF page.
RAILTEL vs peers,Telecom comparison
About Railtel Corp of India: sector, index & market-cap context
Railtel Corp of India (RAILTEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the Telecom sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,387 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the RAILTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Railtel Corp of India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
RAILTEL analysis, FAQs
Is Railtel Corp of India (RAILTEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Railtel Corp of India (RAILTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 55.4× earnings, ROE of 12.0%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is RAILTEL overvalued or undervalued?
RAILTEL trades at 55.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its Telecom peers.
What is the RAILTEL share price target for 2031?
RAILTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹62, with an 80% range of ₹16–₹228 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability RAILTEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of RAILTEL reaching ₹639 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for RAILTEL?
A healthy 12.0% return on equity.
What are the risks in RAILTEL?
A rich 55.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.