IFCI
IFCI
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
IFCI (IFCI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IFCI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
IFCI (IFCI) trades at ₹83,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.
On the numbers, IFCI (IFCI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 122.0× earnings, ROE of 2.1%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IFCI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IFCI overvalued? IFCI P/E vs its sector
IFCI's P/E of 122.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
IFCI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IFCI history (17%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFCI 2027 | ₹43 | ₹86 | ₹172 | +1% |
| IFCI 2028 | ₹32 | ₹87 | ₹239 | +2% |
| IFCI 2029 | ₹25 | ₹89 | ₹304 | +4% |
| IFCI 2030 | ₹22 | ₹90 | ₹379 | +5% |
| IFCI 2031 | ₹19 | ₹91 | ₹454 | +6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IFCI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IFCI
- IFCI is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹304.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 122.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 2.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.
IFCI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IFCI compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹43–₹172, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IFCI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IFCI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IFCI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IFCI price target & forecast page.
IFCI Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IFCI scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
IFCI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IFCI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 42.0% | 2.4× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 42.0% | 2.4× |
| Dhan | 64.0% | 1.6× |
Compare every broker on the IFCI MTF page.
IFCI vs peers,sector comparison
About IFCI: sector, index & market-cap context
IFCI (IFCI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,449 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the IFCI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IFCI's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IFCI analysis, FAQs
Is IFCI (IFCI) a good buy?
On the numbers, IFCI (IFCI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 122.0× earnings, ROE of 2.1%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IFCI overvalued or undervalued?
IFCI trades at 122.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the IFCI share price target for 2031?
IFCI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹91, with an 80% range of ₹19–₹454 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IFCI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IFCI reaching ₹171 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for IFCI?
IFCI is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in IFCI?
A rich 122.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 2.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.