IFCI
Ifci Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ifci Limited (IFCI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IFCI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ifci Limited (IFCI) trades at ₹74,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, Ifci Limited (IFCI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 108.0× earnings, ROE of 2.1%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IFCI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How IFCI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- IFCI's market cap of 19,933 Cr ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFCI's book value of ₹33 ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFCI's promoter holding of 72.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFCI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 42.0% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFCI's 3-year revenue growth of 7.0% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for IFCI, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is IFCI overvalued? IFCI P/E vs peers
IFCI trades at 108.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
IFCI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of IFCI history (10%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFCI 2027 | ₹37 | ₹73 | ₹144 | -1% |
| IFCI 2028 | ₹28 | ₹72 | ₹186 | -2% |
| IFCI 2029 | ₹23 | ₹72 | ₹226 | -3% |
| IFCI 2030 | ₹18 | ₹71 | ₹275 | -4% |
| IFCI 2031 | ₹16 | ₹70 | ₹314 | -5% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IFCI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IFCI
- Ifci Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹226.
The bear case & risks
- IFCI's P/E of 108.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- IFCI's return on equity of 2.1% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.
IFCI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years IFCI compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹37-₹144, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IFCI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IFCI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IFCI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IFCI price target & forecast page.
IFCI Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IFCI scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
IFCI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IFCI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 40.53% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 40.48% | 2.5× |
| Groww | 40.76% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 40.48% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.49% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 41.43% | 2.4× |
| Pocketful | 41.22% | 2.4× |
| Fyers | 41.67% | 2.4× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 40.48% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 40.70% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the IFCI MTF page.
About Ifci Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Ifci Limited (IFCI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹19,933 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the IFCI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ifci Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IFCI analysis, FAQs
Is Ifci Limited (IFCI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ifci Limited (IFCI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 108.0× earnings, ROE of 2.1%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IFCI overvalued or undervalued?
IFCI trades at 108.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the IFCI share price target for 2031?
IFCI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹70, with an 80% range of ₹16-₹314 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IFCI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IFCI reaching ₹148 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for IFCI?
Ifci Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in IFCI?
IFCI's P/E of 108.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IFCI's return on equity of 2.1% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.