Case study

INTLCONV

INTLCONV

Worth a closer look1y model -7.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

INTLCONV (INTLCONV) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is INTLCONV a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

INTLCONV (INTLCONV) trades at ₹84,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.

On the numbers, INTLCONV (INTLCONV) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.9× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

INTLCONV fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹541 Cr
Current price
₹84
P/E ratio
7.9×
P/B ratio
1.27×
Book value
₹67
Dividend yield
0.89%
ROCE
20.6%
ROE
17.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is INTLCONV overvalued? INTLCONV P/E vs its sector

INTLCONV's P/E of 7.9× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.89% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

INTLCONV P/E
7.9×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
INTLCONV div yield
0.89%
Peer median yield
1.65%

INTLCONV share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of INTLCONV history (-0%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
INTLCONV 2027₹46₹77₹130-8%
INTLCONV 2028₹34₹71₹149-15%
INTLCONV 2029₹27₹66₹160-21%
INTLCONV 2030₹21₹60₹172-28%
INTLCONV 2031₹17₹55₹178-34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability INTLCONV goes up, or doubles?

42%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
33%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
11%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹167 within 5 years

The bull case for INTLCONV

  • Trades at just 7.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.27×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • A healthy 17.4% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (20.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹160.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹27.

INTLCONV volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years INTLCONV compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹46₹130, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

INTLCONV price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.6%
80% range₹46–₹130
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.5%
80% range₹27–₹160
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
34.1%
80% range₹17–₹178
P(price ↑)33%
P(price 2×)11%

INTLCONV price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
INTLCONV simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds INTLCONV hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the INTLCONV price target & forecast page.

INTLCONV Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. INTLCONV scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

INTLCONV MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy INTLCONV with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST60.0%1.7×

Compare every broker on the INTLCONV MTF page.

INTLCONV vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
INTLCONV (this stock)7.9×0.89%₹541 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About INTLCONV: sector, index & market-cap context

INTLCONV (INTLCONV) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹541 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the INTLCONV Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of INTLCONV's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

INTLCONV analysis, FAQs

Is INTLCONV (INTLCONV) a good buy?

On the numbers, INTLCONV (INTLCONV) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.9× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is INTLCONV overvalued or undervalued?

INTLCONV trades at 7.9× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the INTLCONV share price target for 2031?

INTLCONV's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹55, with an 80% range of ₹17₹178 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability INTLCONV doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of INTLCONV reaching ₹167 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.

What is the bull case for INTLCONV?

Trades at just 7.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.27×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A healthy 17.4% return on equity.

What are the risks in INTLCONV?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on INTLCONV