JAIBALAJI
JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JAIBALAJI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) trades at ₹71,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.2× earnings, ROE of 30.7%, a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JAIBALAJI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JAIBALAJI overvalued? JAIBALAJI P/E vs its sector
JAIBALAJI's P/E of 22.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
JAIBALAJI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JAIBALAJI history (-49%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAIBALAJI 2027 | ₹20 | ₹37 | ₹69 | -46% |
| JAIBALAJI 2028 | ₹8 | ₹20 | ₹48 | -71% |
| JAIBALAJI 2029 | ₹4 | ₹11 | ₹32 | -84% |
| JAIBALAJI 2030 | ₹2 | ₹6 | ₹20 | -92% |
| JAIBALAJI 2031 | ₹1 | ₹3 | ₹13 | -95% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JAIBALAJI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JAIBALAJI
- A 22.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (30.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (36.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹32.
The bear case & risks
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹4.
JAIBALAJI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JAIBALAJI compounded at -49%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹20–₹69, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JAIBALAJI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JAIBALAJI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JAIBALAJI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JAIBALAJI price target & forecast page.
JAIBALAJI Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JAIBALAJI scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
JAIBALAJI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAIBALAJI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 40.1% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 40.1% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the JAIBALAJI MTF page.
JAIBALAJI vs peers,sector comparison
About JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,516 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the JAIBALAJI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JAIBALAJI analysis, FAQs
Is JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) a good buy?
On the numbers, JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.2× earnings, ROE of 30.7%, a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JAIBALAJI overvalued or undervalued?
JAIBALAJI trades at 22.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JAIBALAJI share price target for 2031?
JAIBALAJI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹13 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JAIBALAJI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JAIBALAJI reaching ₹136 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for JAIBALAJI?
A 22.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (30.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (36.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in JAIBALAJI?
A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.