Case study

JAIBALAJI

JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD

Worth a closer look1y model +2.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

63Score

JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about JAIBALAJI, and the method behind each one.

JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) trades at ₹68,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.

On the numbers, JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.1× earnings, ROE of 30.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAIBALAJI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,176 Cr
Current price
₹68
P/E ratio
21.1×
P/B ratio
2.78×
Book value
₹24
ROCE
36.1%
ROE
30.7%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How JAIBALAJI ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

Is JAIBALAJI overvalued? JAIBALAJI P/E vs peers

JAIBALAJI trades at 21.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JAIBALAJI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JAIBALAJI history (36%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAIBALAJI 2027₹37₹69₹129+3%
JAIBALAJI 2028₹29₹71₹175+5%
JAIBALAJI 2029₹25₹73₹215+8%
JAIBALAJI 2030₹21₹75₹265+11%
JAIBALAJI 2031₹19₹77₹312+14%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAIBALAJI goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹135 within 5 years

The bull case for JAIBALAJI

  • JAIBALAJI's P/E of 21.1x is lower than 55% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • JAIBALAJI's return on equity of 30.7% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • JAIBALAJI's return on capital employed of 36.1% ranks in the top 5% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹215.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.

JAIBALAJI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JAIBALAJI compounded at 36%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹37-₹129, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAIBALAJI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.7%
80% range₹37-₹129
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.2%
80% range₹25-₹215
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.1%
80% range₹19-₹312
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)31%

JAIBALAJI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAIBALAJI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAIBALAJI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAIBALAJI price target & forecast page.

JAIBALAJI Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JAIBALAJI scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

JAIBALAJI MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAIBALAJI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST38.37%2.6×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST38.37%2.6×

Compare every broker on the JAIBALAJI MTF page.

About JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,176 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JAIBALAJI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAIBALAJI analysis, FAQs

Is JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) a good buy?

On the numbers, JAI BALAJI INDUSTRIES LTD (JAIBALAJI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.1× earnings, ROE of 30.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAIBALAJI overvalued or undervalued?

JAIBALAJI trades at 21.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JAIBALAJI share price target for 2031?

JAIBALAJI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹77, with an 80% range of ₹19-₹312 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAIBALAJI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAIBALAJI reaching ₹135 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for JAIBALAJI?

JAIBALAJI's P/E of 21.1x is lower than 55% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. JAIBALAJI's return on equity of 30.7% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. JAIBALAJI's return on capital employed of 36.1% ranks in the top 5% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JAIBALAJI?

High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JAIBALAJI

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.