JWL
Jupiter Wagons
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Jupiter Wagons (JWL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JWL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Jupiter Wagons (JWL) trades at ₹280,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100.
On the numbers, Jupiter Wagons (JWL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 65.2× earnings, ROE of 6.4%, a 12% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JWL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JWL overvalued? JWL P/E vs its sector
JWL's P/E of 65.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.36% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JWL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JWL history (-46%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JWL 2027 | ₹84 | ₹156 | ₹293 | -44% |
| JWL 2028 | ₹37 | ₹87 | ₹209 | -69% |
| JWL 2029 | ₹17 | ₹49 | ₹146 | -82% |
| JWL 2030 | ₹8 | ₹28 | ₹96 | -90% |
| JWL 2031 | ₹4 | ₹16 | ₹62 | -94% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JWL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JWL
- Jupiter Wagons is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹146.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 65.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 12% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹17.
JWL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JWL compounded at -46%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹84–₹293, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JWL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JWL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JWL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JWL price target & forecast page.
JWL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JWL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JWL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JWL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the JWL MTF page.
JWL vs peers,sector comparison
About Jupiter Wagons: sector, index & market-cap context
Jupiter Wagons (JWL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,939 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JWL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jupiter Wagons's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JWL analysis, FAQs
Is Jupiter Wagons (JWL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Jupiter Wagons (JWL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 65.2× earnings, ROE of 6.4%, a 12% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JWL overvalued or undervalued?
JWL trades at 65.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JWL share price target for 2031?
JWL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹16, with an 80% range of ₹4–₹62 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JWL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JWL reaching ₹555 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for JWL?
Jupiter Wagons is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in JWL?
A rich 65.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 6.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 12% chance of finishing above today's price.