Case study

KAYA

KAYA

Screens weak1y model -1.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

32Score

KAYA (KAYA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about KAYA, and the method behind each one.

KAYA (KAYA) trades at ₹339,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100.

On the numbers, KAYA (KAYA) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing ROE of 10.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KAYA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹518 Cr
Current price
₹339
Book value
₹-101
ROCE
-45.6%
ROE
10.0%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How KAYA ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for KAYA, as of 18 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

KAYA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KAYA history (-8%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KAYA 2027₹177₹328₹607-2%
KAYA 2028₹137₹323₹761-3%
KAYA 2029₹110₹318₹921-5%
KAYA 2030₹92₹313₹1,067-6%
KAYA 2031₹77₹308₹1,222-8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KAYA goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
47%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹666 within 5 years

The bull case for KAYA

  • KAYA is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹921.

The bear case & risks

  • KAYA's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • KAYA's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 7th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹110.

KAYA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years KAYA compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹177-₹607, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KAYA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.6%
80% range₹177-₹607
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹110-₹921
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.6%
80% range₹77-₹1,222
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)23%

KAYA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KAYA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KAYA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KAYA price target & forecast page.

KAYA Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KAYA scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

KAYA MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KAYA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.00%2.0×

Compare every broker on the KAYA MTF page.

About KAYA: sector, index & market-cap context

KAYA (KAYA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹518 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KAYA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KAYA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KAYA analysis, FAQs

Is KAYA (KAYA) a good buy?

On the numbers, KAYA (KAYA) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 32/100, weighing ROE of 10.0%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KAYA overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for KAYA are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the KAYA share price target for 2031?

KAYA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹308, with an 80% range of ₹77-₹1,222 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KAYA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KAYA reaching ₹666 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for KAYA?

KAYA is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KAYA?

KAYA's return on equity of 10.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. KAYA's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 7th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on KAYA

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.