Case study

KILITCH

KILITCH

Mixed signals1y model -0.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

KILITCH (KILITCH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KILITCH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

KILITCH (KILITCH) trades at ₹190,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, KILITCH (KILITCH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KILITCH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹665 Cr
Current price
₹190
P/E ratio
22.0×
P/B ratio
2.38×
Book value
₹80
ROCE
14.4%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is KILITCH overvalued? KILITCH P/E vs its sector

KILITCH's P/E of 22.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

KILITCH P/E
22.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

KILITCH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KILITCH history (9%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KILITCH 2027₹105₹184₹321-1%
KILITCH 2028₹82₹182₹403-2%
KILITCH 2029₹69₹180₹467-3%
KILITCH 2030₹59₹177₹539-5%
KILITCH 2031₹51₹177₹612-5%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KILITCH goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
48%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹372 within 5 years

The bull case for KILITCH

  • A 22.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹467.

The bear case & risks

  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹69.

KILITCH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KILITCH compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹105₹321, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KILITCH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.9%
80% range₹105–₹321
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.3%
80% range₹69–₹467
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.9%
80% range₹51–₹612
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)22%

KILITCH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KILITCH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KILITCH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KILITCH price target & forecast page.

KILITCH Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KILITCH scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

KILITCH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KILITCH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the KILITCH MTF page.

KILITCH vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KILITCH (this stock)22.0×₹665 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About KILITCH: sector, index & market-cap context

KILITCH (KILITCH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹665 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KILITCH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KILITCH's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KILITCH analysis, FAQs

Is KILITCH (KILITCH) a good buy?

On the numbers, KILITCH (KILITCH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KILITCH overvalued or undervalued?

KILITCH trades at 22.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KILITCH share price target for 2031?

KILITCH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹177, with an 80% range of ₹51₹612 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KILITCH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KILITCH reaching ₹372 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for KILITCH?

A 22.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.5% return on equity.

What are the risks in KILITCH?

A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on KILITCH