KOTARISUG
KOTARISUG
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
KOTARISUG (KOTARISUG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KOTARISUG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
KOTARISUG (KOTARISUG) trades at ₹26,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.
On the numbers, KOTARISUG (KOTARISUG) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 28.4× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 9% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KOTARISUG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is KOTARISUG overvalued? KOTARISUG P/E vs its sector
KOTARISUG's P/E of 28.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
KOTARISUG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KOTARISUG history (-43%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOTARISUG 2027 | ₹10 | ₹16 | ₹25 | -39% |
| KOTARISUG 2028 | ₹5 | ₹10 | ₹18 | -62% |
| KOTARISUG 2029 | ₹3 | ₹6 | ₹13 | -77% |
| KOTARISUG 2030 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹9 | -86% |
| KOTARISUG 2031 | ₹1 | ₹2 | ₹6 | -92% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KOTARISUG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KOTARISUG
- KOTARISUG is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹13.
The bear case & risks
- At 28.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 5.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 9% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3.
KOTARISUG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years KOTARISUG compounded at -43%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹10–₹25, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KOTARISUG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KOTARISUG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KOTARISUG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KOTARISUG price target & forecast page.
KOTARISUG Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KOTARISUG scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
KOTARISUG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KOTARISUG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 60.0% | 1.7× |
Compare every broker on the KOTARISUG MTF page.
KOTARISUG vs peers,sector comparison
About KOTARISUG: sector, index & market-cap context
KOTARISUG (KOTARISUG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹213 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the KOTARISUG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KOTARISUG's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KOTARISUG analysis, FAQs
Is KOTARISUG (KOTARISUG) a good buy?
On the numbers, KOTARISUG (KOTARISUG) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 28.4× earnings, ROE of 5.3%, a 9% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KOTARISUG overvalued or undervalued?
KOTARISUG trades at 28.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the KOTARISUG share price target for 2031?
KOTARISUG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹6 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KOTARISUG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KOTARISUG reaching ₹52 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for KOTARISUG?
KOTARISUG is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in KOTARISUG?
At 28.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 5.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.