Case study

LEMERITE

LEMERITE

High-risk on the numbers1y model -7.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

LEMERITE (LEMERITE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is LEMERITE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

LEMERITE (LEMERITE) trades at ₹28,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, LEMERITE (LEMERITE) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 30.0× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

LEMERITE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹347 Cr
Current price
₹28
P/E ratio
30.0×
P/B ratio
2.57×
Book value
₹11
ROCE
9.9%
ROE
9.3%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is LEMERITE overvalued? LEMERITE P/E vs its sector

LEMERITE's P/E of 30.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

LEMERITE P/E
30.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

LEMERITE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LEMERITE history (-1%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
LEMERITE 2027₹15₹25₹42-8%
LEMERITE 2028₹11₹23₹48-15%
LEMERITE 2029₹9₹21₹52-22%
LEMERITE 2030₹7₹20₹54-28%
LEMERITE 2031₹6₹18₹56-34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability LEMERITE goes up, or doubles?

42%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
32%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
11%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹55 within 5 years

The bull case for LEMERITE

  • LEMERITE is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹52.

The bear case & risks

  • At 30.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 9.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹9.

LEMERITE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years LEMERITE compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹15₹42, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

LEMERITE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.8%
80% range₹15–₹42
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
21.7%
80% range₹9–₹52
P(price ↑)36%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
33.7%
80% range₹6–₹56
P(price ↑)32%
P(price 2×)11%

LEMERITE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
LEMERITE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds LEMERITE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the LEMERITE price target & forecast page.

LEMERITE Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LEMERITE scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

LEMERITE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LEMERITE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST64.0%1.6×

Compare every broker on the LEMERITE MTF page.

LEMERITE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
LEMERITE (this stock)30.0×₹347 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About LEMERITE: sector, index & market-cap context

LEMERITE (LEMERITE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹347 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the LEMERITE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of LEMERITE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

LEMERITE analysis, FAQs

Is LEMERITE (LEMERITE) a good buy?

On the numbers, LEMERITE (LEMERITE) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing premium at 30.0× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is LEMERITE overvalued or undervalued?

LEMERITE trades at 30.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the LEMERITE share price target for 2031?

LEMERITE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹18, with an 80% range of ₹6₹56 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability LEMERITE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of LEMERITE reaching ₹55 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.

What is the bull case for LEMERITE?

LEMERITE is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in LEMERITE?

At 30.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 9.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on LEMERITE