Case study

MANORG

MANORG

Tread carefully1y model +8.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MANORG (MANORG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MANORG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MANORG (MANORG) trades at ₹573,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.

On the numbers, MANORG (MANORG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.5× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MANORG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹498 Cr
Current price
₹573
P/E ratio
17.5×
P/B ratio
1.54×
Book value
₹372
ROCE
10.5%
ROE
9.3%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is MANORG overvalued? MANORG P/E vs its sector

MANORG's P/E of 17.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

MANORG P/E
17.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

MANORG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MANORG history (20%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MANORG 2027₹324₹611₹1,163+8%
MANORG 2028₹263₹661₹1,640+17%
MANORG 2029₹231₹713₹2,134+27%
MANORG 2030₹205₹773₹2,781+37%
MANORG 2031₹194₹839₹3,468+49%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MANORG goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
40%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,127 within 5 years

The bull case for MANORG

  • A 17.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,134.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 9.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹231.

MANORG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MANORG compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹324₹1,163, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MANORG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.4%
80% range₹324–₹1,163
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.6%
80% range₹231–₹2,134
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)29%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
48.9%
80% range₹194–₹3,468
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)40%

MANORG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MANORG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MANORG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MANORG price target & forecast page.

MANORG Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MANORG scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

MANORG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANORG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the MANORG MTF page.

MANORG vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MANORG (this stock)17.5×₹498 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MANORG: sector, index & market-cap context

MANORG (MANORG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹498 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MANORG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MANORG's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MANORG analysis, FAQs

Is MANORG (MANORG) a good buy?

On the numbers, MANORG (MANORG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.5× earnings, ROE of 9.3%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MANORG overvalued or undervalued?

MANORG trades at 17.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MANORG share price target for 2031?

MANORG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹839, with an 80% range of ₹194₹3,468 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MANORG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MANORG reaching ₹1,127 (2×) within 5 years is 40%.

What is the bull case for MANORG?

A 17.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.

What are the risks in MANORG?

Return on equity is a soft 9.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MANORG