MOTILALOFS
Motilal Oswal Fin
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Motilal Oswal Fin (MOTILALOFS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MOTILALOFS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Motilal Oswal Fin (MOTILALOFS) trades at ₹949,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.
On the numbers, Motilal Oswal Fin (MOTILALOFS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 30.5× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MOTILALOFS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MOTILALOFS overvalued? MOTILALOFS P/E vs its sector
MOTILALOFS's P/E of 30.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.63% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MOTILALOFS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MOTILALOFS history (20%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOTILALOFS 2027 | ₹578 | ₹1,039 | ₹1,857 | +9% |
| MOTILALOFS 2028 | ₹494 | ₹1,128 | ₹2,635 | +18% |
| MOTILALOFS 2029 | ₹441 | ₹1,233 | ₹3,423 | +29% |
| MOTILALOFS 2030 | ₹409 | ₹1,348 | ₹4,420 | +41% |
| MOTILALOFS 2031 | ₹390 | ₹1,467 | ₹5,538 | +54% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MOTILALOFS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MOTILALOFS
- A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,423.
The bear case & risks
- At 30.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹441.
MOTILALOFS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MOTILALOFS compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹578–₹1,857, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MOTILALOFS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MOTILALOFS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MOTILALOFS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MOTILALOFS price target & forecast page.
MOTILALOFS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MOTILALOFS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MOTILALOFS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOTILALOFS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.7% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 30.4% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 28.7% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the MOTILALOFS MTF page.
MOTILALOFS vs peers,sector comparison
About Motilal Oswal Fin: sector, index & market-cap context
Motilal Oswal Fin (MOTILALOFS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹57,093 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the MOTILALOFS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Motilal Oswal Fin's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MOTILALOFS analysis, FAQs
Is Motilal Oswal Fin (MOTILALOFS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Motilal Oswal Fin (MOTILALOFS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 30.5× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MOTILALOFS overvalued or undervalued?
MOTILALOFS trades at 30.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MOTILALOFS share price target for 2031?
MOTILALOFS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,467, with an 80% range of ₹390–₹5,538 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MOTILALOFS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MOTILALOFS reaching ₹1,907 (2×) within 5 years is 40%.
What is the bull case for MOTILALOFS?
A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
What are the risks in MOTILALOFS?
At 30.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.