MOTILALOFS
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOTILALOFS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MOTILALOFS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOTILALOFS) trades at ₹870,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.
On the numbers, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOTILALOFS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 26.5× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MOTILALOFS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MOTILALOFS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MOTILALOFS's market cap of 52,387 Cr ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTILALOFS's book value of ₹214 ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTILALOFS's promoter holding of 67.2% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTILALOFS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 26.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTILALOFS's 3-year revenue growth of 31.0% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTILALOFS's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65x is lower than 7% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MOTILALOFS overvalued? MOTILALOFS P/E vs peers
MOTILALOFS trades at 26.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MOTILALOFS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MOTILALOFS history (20%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOTILALOFS 2027 | ₹496 | ₹882 | ₹1,568 | +1% |
| MOTILALOFS 2028 | ₹385 | ₹894 | ₹2,073 | +3% |
| MOTILALOFS 2029 | ₹328 | ₹906 | ₹2,500 | +4% |
| MOTILALOFS 2030 | ₹286 | ₹918 | ₹2,941 | +5% |
| MOTILALOFS 2031 | ₹252 | ₹930 | ₹3,439 | +7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MOTILALOFS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MOTILALOFS
- MOTILALOFS's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,500.
The bear case & risks
- MOTILALOFS's P/E of 26.5x is lower than 51% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹328.
MOTILALOFS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MOTILALOFS compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹496-₹1,568, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MOTILALOFS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MOTILALOFS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MOTILALOFS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MOTILALOFS price target & forecast page.
MOTILALOFS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MOTILALOFS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
MOTILALOFS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOTILALOFS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.52% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 29.80% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.92% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 27.97% | 3.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 28.32% | 3.5× |
| Pocketful | 35.19% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 37.00% | 2.7× |
| Share India | 35.12% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the MOTILALOFS MTF page.
About Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOTILALOFS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹52,387 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MOTILALOFS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MOTILALOFS analysis, FAQs
Is Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOTILALOFS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOTILALOFS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 26.5× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MOTILALOFS overvalued or undervalued?
MOTILALOFS trades at 26.5× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MOTILALOFS share price target for 2031?
MOTILALOFS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹930, with an 80% range of ₹252-₹3,439 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MOTILALOFS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MOTILALOFS reaching ₹1,740 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for MOTILALOFS?
MOTILALOFS's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MOTILALOFS?
MOTILALOFS's P/E of 26.5x is lower than 51% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.