Case study

NEXT50BETA

UTI AMC - UTINEXT50

Worth a closer look1y model +11.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

UTI AMC - UTINEXT50 (NEXT50BETA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is NEXT50BETA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, UTI AMC - UTINEXT50 (NEXT50BETA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

NEXT50BETA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.5y of NEXT50BETA history (13%/yr drift, 22%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
NEXT50BETA 2027₹66₹88₹116+11%
NEXT50BETA 2028₹66₹98₹144+24%
NEXT50BETA 2029₹67₹109₹176+38%
NEXT50BETA 2030₹69₹122₹211+55%
NEXT50BETA 2031₹71₹135₹251+72%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability NEXT50BETA goes up, or doubles?

69%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
86%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
38%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹157 within 5 years

The bull case for NEXT50BETA

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹88 (+11%).
  • Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹176.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹67.

NEXT50BETA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.5 years NEXT50BETA compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 22%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹66₹116, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

NEXT50BETA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.4%
80% range₹66–₹116
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
38.3%
80% range₹67–₹176
P(price ↑)80%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
71.5%
80% range₹71–₹251
P(price ↑)86%
P(price 2×)38%

NEXT50BETA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
NEXT50BETA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds NEXT50BETA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the NEXT50BETA price target & forecast page.

NEXT50BETA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NEXT50BETA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.0%4.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST20.0%5.0×

Compare every broker on the NEXT50BETA MTF page.

NEXT50BETA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
NEXT50BETA (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About UTI AMC - UTINEXT50: sector, index & market-cap context

UTI AMC - UTINEXT50 (NEXT50BETA) is an NSE-listed company.

How the NEXT50BETA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of UTI AMC - UTINEXT50's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

NEXT50BETA analysis, FAQs

Is UTI AMC - UTINEXT50 (NEXT50BETA) a good buy?

On the numbers, UTI AMC - UTINEXT50 (NEXT50BETA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is NEXT50BETA overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for NEXT50BETA are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the NEXT50BETA share price target for 2031?

NEXT50BETA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹135, with an 80% range of ₹71₹251 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability NEXT50BETA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of NEXT50BETA reaching ₹157 (2×) within 5 years is 38%.

What is the bull case for NEXT50BETA?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹88 (+11%). Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in NEXT50BETA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on NEXT50BETA