NPBET
Tata AMC - NPBET
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tata AMC - NPBET (NPBET) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NPBET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.
On the numbers, Tata AMC - NPBET (NPBET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
NPBET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of NPBET history (5%/yr drift, 17%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPBET 2027 | ₹242 | ₹299 | ₹371 | +4% |
| NPBET 2028 | ₹230 | ₹309 | ₹418 | +7% |
| NPBET 2029 | ₹222 | ₹321 | ₹465 | +11% |
| NPBET 2030 | ₹217 | ₹331 | ₹506 | +15% |
| NPBET 2031 | ₹213 | ₹342 | ₹553 | +18% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NPBET goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NPBET
- Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹465.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹222.
NPBET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years NPBET compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 17%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹242–₹371, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NPBET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NPBET price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NPBET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NPBET price target & forecast page.
NPBET MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NPBET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.5% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the NPBET MTF page.
NPBET vs peers,sector comparison
About Tata AMC - NPBET: sector, index & market-cap context
Tata AMC - NPBET (NPBET) is an NSE-listed company.
How the NPBET Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata AMC - NPBET's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NPBET analysis, FAQs
Is Tata AMC - NPBET (NPBET) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tata AMC - NPBET (NPBET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NPBET overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for NPBET are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the NPBET share price target for 2031?
NPBET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹342, with an 80% range of ₹213–₹553 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NPBET doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NPBET reaching ₹577 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for NPBET?
Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in NPBET?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.