Case study

ONIDA

ONIDA

Mixed signals1y model -6.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

ONIDA (ONIDA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about ONIDA, and the method behind each one.

ONIDA (ONIDA) trades at ₹36,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, ONIDA (ONIDA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 5.8× earnings, ROE of -26.4%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ONIDA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,319 Cr
Current price
₹36
P/E ratio
5.8×
P/B ratio
6.19×
Book value
₹6
ROCE
-3.5%
ROE
-26.4%
Piotroski F-Score
0/8

How ONIDA ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

Is ONIDA overvalued? ONIDA P/E vs peers

ONIDA trades at 5.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ONIDA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ONIDA history (13%/yr drift, 60%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ONIDA 2027₹16₹34₹73-6%
ONIDA 2028₹11₹32₹95-12%
ONIDA 2029₹8₹30₹112-18%
ONIDA 2030₹6₹28₹131-23%
ONIDA 2031₹5₹26₹143-28%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ONIDA goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹72 within 5 years

The bull case for ONIDA

  • ONIDA's P/E of 5.8x is lower than 93% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹112.

The bear case & risks

  • ONIDA's Piotroski F-Score is 0/8. A screener percentile is not available for it right now.
  • High historical volatility (60%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹8.

ONIDA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ONIDA compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 60%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹16-₹73, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ONIDA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.3%
80% range₹16-₹73
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.7%
80% range₹8-₹112
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
27.7%
80% range₹5-₹143
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)22%

ONIDA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ONIDA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ONIDA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ONIDA price target & forecast page.

ONIDA Piotroski F-Score: 0/8, how financially strong is it?

0/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ONIDA scores 0/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

ONIDA MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ONIDA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.00%2.0×

Compare every broker on the ONIDA MTF page.

About ONIDA: sector, index & market-cap context

ONIDA (ONIDA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,319 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ONIDA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ONIDA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ONIDA analysis, FAQs

Is ONIDA (ONIDA) a good buy?

On the numbers, ONIDA (ONIDA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing inexpensive at 5.8× earnings, ROE of -26.4%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ONIDA overvalued or undervalued?

ONIDA trades at 5.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ONIDA share price target for 2031?

ONIDA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹26, with an 80% range of ₹5-₹143 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ONIDA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ONIDA reaching ₹72 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for ONIDA?

ONIDA's P/E of 5.8x is lower than 93% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in ONIDA?

ONIDA's Piotroski F-Score is 0/8. A screener percentile is not available for it right now. High historical volatility (60%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on ONIDA

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.