PAKKA
Pakka Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Pakka Limited (PAKKA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about PAKKA, and the method behind each one.
Pakka Limited (PAKKA) trades at ₹96,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 26/100.
On the numbers, Pakka Limited (PAKKA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 26/100, weighing premium at 32.8× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PAKKA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How PAKKA ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener
- PAKKA's market cap of 457 Cr ranks in the 39th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's book value of ₹95 ranks in the 58th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's promoter holding of 39.3% ranks in the 13th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -48.0% ranks in the bottom 3% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's 3-year revenue growth of -4.0% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66x is lower than 29% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
Is PAKKA overvalued? PAKKA P/E vs peers
PAKKA trades at 32.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
PAKKA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PAKKA history (16%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAKKA 2027 | ₹48 | ₹89 | ₹165 | +0% |
| PAKKA 2028 | ₹37 | ₹89 | ₹217 | +0% |
| PAKKA 2029 | ₹31 | ₹90 | ₹260 | +1% |
| PAKKA 2030 | ₹27 | ₹90 | ₹299 | +1% |
| PAKKA 2031 | ₹23 | ₹90 | ₹354 | +1% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PAKKA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PAKKA
- Low price-to-book of 1.01×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹260.
The bear case & risks
- PAKKA's P/E of 32.8x is lower than 37% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's return on equity of 1.4% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- PAKKA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 17th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹31.
PAKKA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years PAKKA compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹48-₹165, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PAKKA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PAKKA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PAKKA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PAKKA price target & forecast page.
PAKKA Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PAKKA scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
PAKKA MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PAKKA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 100.00% | 1.0× |
Compare every broker on the PAKKA MTF page.
About Pakka Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Pakka Limited (PAKKA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹457 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the PAKKA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Pakka Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PAKKA analysis, FAQs
Is Pakka Limited (PAKKA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Pakka Limited (PAKKA) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 26/100, weighing premium at 32.8× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PAKKA overvalued or undervalued?
PAKKA trades at 32.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the PAKKA share price target for 2031?
PAKKA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹90, with an 80% range of ₹23-₹354 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PAKKA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PAKKA reaching ₹178 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for PAKKA?
Low price-to-book of 1.01×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in PAKKA?
PAKKA's P/E of 32.8x is lower than 37% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. PAKKA's return on equity of 1.4% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. PAKKA's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 17th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
More on PAKKA
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.