Case study

QUALITY30

KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30

Mixed signals1y model -4.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30 (QUALITY30) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is QUALITY30 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30 (QUALITY30) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

QUALITY30 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.9y of QUALITY30 history (-3%/yr drift, 16%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
QUALITY30 2027₹16₹19₹24-4%
QUALITY30 2028₹14₹19₹25-8%
QUALITY30 2029₹12₹18₹25-13%
QUALITY30 2030₹11₹17₹26-17%
QUALITY30 2031₹10₹16₹26-21%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability QUALITY30 goes up, or doubles?

39%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
26%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹41 within 5 years

The bull case for QUALITY30

  • Relatively low volatility (16%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹25.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.

QUALITY30 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.9 years QUALITY30 compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 16%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹16₹24, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

QUALITY30 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹16–₹24
P(price ↑)39%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.7%
80% range₹12–₹25
P(price ↑)32%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.7%
80% range₹10–₹26
P(price ↑)26%
P(price 2×)1%

QUALITY30 price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
QUALITY30 simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds QUALITY30 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the QUALITY30 price target & forecast page.

QUALITY30 MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy QUALITY30 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.0%4.0×
DhanCHEAPEST20.0%5.0×

Compare every broker on the QUALITY30 MTF page.

QUALITY30 vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
QUALITY30 (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30: sector, index & market-cap context

KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30 (QUALITY30) is an NSE-listed company.

How the QUALITY30 Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

QUALITY30 analysis, FAQs

Is KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30 (QUALITY30) a good buy?

On the numbers, KOTAKMAMC - QUALITY30 (QUALITY30) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is QUALITY30 overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for QUALITY30 are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the QUALITY30 share price target for 2031?

QUALITY30's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹16, with an 80% range of ₹10₹26 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability QUALITY30 doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of QUALITY30 reaching ₹41 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for QUALITY30?

Relatively low volatility (16%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in QUALITY30?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on QUALITY30