Case study

RML

Rane (Madras)

Mixed signals1y model +3.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Rane (Madras) (RML) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RML a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.

On the numbers, Rane (Madras) (RML) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RML share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RML history (12%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RML 2027₹664₹1,154₹2,007+3%
RML 2028₹535₹1,187₹2,579+6%
RML 2029₹470₹1,235₹3,168+10%
RML 2030₹410₹1,259₹3,858+12%
RML 2031₹373₹1,288₹4,464+15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RML goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,242 within 5 years

The bull case for RML

  • Rane (Madras) is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,168.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹470.

RML volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years RML compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹664₹2,007, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RML price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.0%
80% range₹664–₹2,007
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.1%
80% range₹470–₹3,168
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.9%
80% range₹373–₹4,464
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)29%

RML price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RML simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RML hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RML price target & forecast page.

RML MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RML with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the RML MTF page.

RML vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
RML (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Rane (Madras): sector, index & market-cap context

Rane (Madras) (RML) is an NSE-listed company.

How the RML Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Rane (Madras)'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RML analysis, FAQs

Is Rane (Madras) (RML) a good buy?

On the numbers, Rane (Madras) (RML) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RML overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for RML are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the RML share price target for 2031?

RML's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,288, with an 80% range of ₹373₹4,464 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RML doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RML reaching ₹2,242 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for RML?

Rane (Madras) is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in RML?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on RML