SBFC
SBFC Finance
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SBFC Finance (SBFC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SBFC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
SBFC Finance (SBFC) trades at ₹93,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.
On the numbers, SBFC Finance (SBFC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 11.6%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SBFC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SBFC overvalued? SBFC P/E vs its sector
SBFC's P/E of 29.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
SBFC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SBFC history (6%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBFC 2027 | ₹61 | ₹95 | ₹150 | +0% |
| SBFC 2028 | ₹50 | ₹95 | ₹178 | -1% |
| SBFC 2029 | ₹44 | ₹94 | ₹203 | -1% |
| SBFC 2030 | ₹38 | ₹94 | ₹225 | -1% |
| SBFC 2031 | ₹34 | ₹94 | ₹248 | -2% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SBFC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SBFC
- SBFC Finance is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹203.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 11.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹44.
SBFC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SBFC compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹61–₹150, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SBFC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SBFC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SBFC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SBFC price target & forecast page.
SBFC Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SBFC scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
SBFC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SBFC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the SBFC MTF page.
Which ace investors hold SBFC?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
SBFC vs peers,sector comparison
About SBFC Finance: sector, index & market-cap context
SBFC Finance (SBFC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,311 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the SBFC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SBFC Finance's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SBFC analysis, FAQs
Is SBFC Finance (SBFC) a good buy?
On the numbers, SBFC Finance (SBFC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 11.6%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SBFC overvalued or undervalued?
SBFC trades at 29.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the SBFC share price target for 2031?
SBFC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹94, with an 80% range of ₹34–₹248 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SBFC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SBFC reaching ₹191 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.
What is the bull case for SBFC?
SBFC Finance is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SBFC?
At 29.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 11.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.