SCPL
SCPL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SCPL (SCPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SCPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, SCPL (SCPL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SCPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SCPL history (-3%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCPL 2027 | ₹248 | ₹455 | ₹832 | -15% |
| SCPL 2028 | ₹166 | ₹398 | ₹935 | -26% |
| SCPL 2029 | ₹118 | ₹343 | ₹989 | -36% |
| SCPL 2030 | ₹88 | ₹297 | ₹1,029 | -44% |
| SCPL 2031 | ₹66 | ₹255 | ₹1,023 | -52% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SCPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SCPL
- SCPL is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹989.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹118.
SCPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SCPL compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹248-₹832, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SCPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SCPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SCPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SCPL price target & forecast page.
SCPL MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SCPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 39.00% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the SCPL MTF page.
SCPL vs peers,sector comparison
About SCPL: sector, index & market-cap context
SCPL (SCPL) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SCPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SCPL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SCPL analysis, FAQs
Is SCPL (SCPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, SCPL (SCPL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SCPL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SCPL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SCPL share price target for 2031?
SCPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹255, with an 80% range of ₹66-₹1,023 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SCPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SCPL reaching ₹1,070 (2×) within 5 years is 9%.
What is the bull case for SCPL?
SCPL is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in SCPL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.