SENSEXBETA
UTI AMC - UTISENSETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
UTI AMC - UTISENSETF (SENSEXBETA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SENSEXBETA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, UTI AMC - UTISENSETF (SENSEXBETA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 12% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SENSEXBETA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.5y of SENSEXBETA history (-20%/yr drift, 18%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SENSEXBETA 2027 | ₹549 | ₹688 | ₹866 | -19% |
| SENSEXBETA 2028 | ₹405 | ₹556 | ₹772 | -35% |
| SENSEXBETA 2029 | ₹306 | ₹451 | ₹676 | -47% |
| SENSEXBETA 2030 | ₹231 | ₹367 | ₹584 | -57% |
| SENSEXBETA 2031 | ₹179 | ₹297 | ₹499 | -65% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SENSEXBETA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SENSEXBETA
- Relatively low volatility (18%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹676.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 12% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹306.
SENSEXBETA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.5 years SENSEXBETA compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 18%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹549–₹866, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SENSEXBETA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SENSEXBETA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SENSEXBETA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SENSEXBETA price target & forecast page.
SENSEXBETA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SENSEXBETA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.0% | 4.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 20.0% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the SENSEXBETA MTF page.
SENSEXBETA vs peers,sector comparison
About UTI AMC - UTISENSETF: sector, index & market-cap context
UTI AMC - UTISENSETF (SENSEXBETA) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SENSEXBETA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of UTI AMC - UTISENSETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SENSEXBETA analysis, FAQs
Is UTI AMC - UTISENSETF (SENSEXBETA) a good buy?
On the numbers, UTI AMC - UTISENSETF (SENSEXBETA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 12% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SENSEXBETA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SENSEXBETA are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SENSEXBETA share price target for 2031?
SENSEXBETA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹297, with an 80% range of ₹179–₹499 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SENSEXBETA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SENSEXBETA reaching ₹1,702 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for SENSEXBETA?
Relatively low volatility (18%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in SENSEXBETA?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 12% chance of finishing above today's price.