SETF10GILT
SBI AMC - SETF10GILT
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SBI AMC - SETF10GILT (SETF10GILT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SETF10GILT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, SBI AMC - SETF10GILT (SETF10GILT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 93% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SETF10GILT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SETF10GILT history (6%/yr drift, 4%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SETF10GILT 2027 | ₹264 | ₹278 | ₹293 | +6% |
| SETF10GILT 2028 | ₹274 | ₹295 | ₹318 | +13% |
| SETF10GILT 2029 | ₹286 | ₹313 | ₹344 | +19% |
| SETF10GILT 2030 | ₹299 | ₹332 | ₹369 | +27% |
| SETF10GILT 2031 | ₹313 | ₹353 | ₹398 | +34% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SETF10GILT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SETF10GILT
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 93% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹278 (+6%).
- Relatively low volatility (4%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹344.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹286.
SETF10GILT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SETF10GILT compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 4%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹264–₹293, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SETF10GILT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SETF10GILT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SETF10GILT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SETF10GILT price target & forecast page.
SETF10GILT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SETF10GILT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.0% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 20.0% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the SETF10GILT MTF page.
SETF10GILT vs peers,sector comparison
About SBI AMC - SETF10GILT: sector, index & market-cap context
SBI AMC - SETF10GILT (SETF10GILT) is an NSE-listed company.
How the SETF10GILT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SBI AMC - SETF10GILT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SETF10GILT analysis, FAQs
Is SBI AMC - SETF10GILT (SETF10GILT) a good buy?
On the numbers, SBI AMC - SETF10GILT (SETF10GILT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 93% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SETF10GILT overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SETF10GILT are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SETF10GILT share price target for 2031?
SETF10GILT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹353, with an 80% range of ₹313–₹398 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SETF10GILT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SETF10GILT reaching ₹525 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for SETF10GILT?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 93% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹278 (+6%). Relatively low volatility (4%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in SETF10GILT?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.