Case study

TRACXN

Tracxn Technologies Ltd

Mixed signals1y model +2.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

54Score

Tracxn Technologies Ltd (TRACXN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about TRACXN, and the method behind each one.

Tracxn Technologies Ltd (TRACXN) trades at ₹29,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.

On the numbers, Tracxn Technologies Ltd (TRACXN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.9× earnings, ROE of -27.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TRACXN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹307 Cr
Current price
₹29
P/E ratio
4.9×
P/B ratio
5.89×
Book value
₹5
ROCE
-6.8%
ROE
-27.7%
Piotroski F-Score
2/8

How TRACXN ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for TRACXN, as of 18 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is TRACXN overvalued? TRACXN P/E vs peers

TRACXN trades at 4.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

TRACXN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 3.8y of TRACXN history (-31%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TRACXN 2027₹18₹30₹49+2%
TRACXN 2028₹15₹30₹62+4%
TRACXN 2029₹13₹31₹72+6%
TRACXN 2030₹12₹31₹86+8%
TRACXN 2031₹11₹32₹97+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TRACXN goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹58 within 5 years

The bull case for TRACXN

  • TRACXN's P/E of 4.9x is lower than 94% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹72.

The bear case & risks

  • TRACXN's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 7th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹13.

TRACXN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 3.8 years TRACXN compounded at -31%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹18-₹49, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TRACXN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 3.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.0%
80% range₹18-₹49
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.0%
80% range₹13-₹72
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
10.3%
80% range₹11-₹97
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)24%

TRACXN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TRACXN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TRACXN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TRACXN price target & forecast page.

TRACXN Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?

2/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TRACXN scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

TRACXN MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TRACXN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST100.00%1.0×

Compare every broker on the TRACXN MTF page.

About Tracxn Technologies Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Tracxn Technologies Ltd (TRACXN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹307 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TRACXN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tracxn Technologies Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TRACXN analysis, FAQs

Is Tracxn Technologies Ltd (TRACXN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tracxn Technologies Ltd (TRACXN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.9× earnings, ROE of -27.7%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TRACXN overvalued or undervalued?

TRACXN trades at 4.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the TRACXN share price target for 2031?

TRACXN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹32, with an 80% range of ₹11-₹97 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TRACXN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TRACXN reaching ₹58 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for TRACXN?

TRACXN's P/E of 4.9x is lower than 94% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TRACXN?

TRACXN's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 7th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

More on TRACXN

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.