TREL
TREL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TREL (TREL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about TREL, and the method behind each one.
TREL (TREL) trades at ₹27,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, TREL (TREL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.3× earnings, ROE of 2.9%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TREL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TREL ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener
- TREL's market cap of 661 Cr ranks in the 45th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- TREL's book value of ₹52 ranks in the 38th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- TREL's promoter holding of 71.4% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- TREL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 2.0% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- TREL's 3-year revenue growth of -15.0% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for TREL, as of 18 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is TREL overvalued? TREL P/E vs peers
TREL trades at 17.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
TREL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.9y of TREL history (-11%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TREL 2027 | ₹16 | ₹27 | ₹44 | +3% |
| TREL 2028 | ₹14 | ₹27 | ₹55 | +6% |
| TREL 2029 | ₹12 | ₹28 | ₹65 | +9% |
| TREL 2030 | ₹11 | ₹29 | ₹77 | +12% |
| TREL 2031 | ₹10 | ₹30 | ₹89 | +15% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TREL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TREL
- TREL's P/E of 17.3x is lower than 63% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.51×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹65.
The bear case & risks
- TREL's return on equity of 2.9% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.
TREL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.9 years TREL compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹16-₹44, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TREL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TREL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TREL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TREL price target & forecast page.
TREL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TREL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
TREL MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TREL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Anand Rathi | 33.45% | 3.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 32.86% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the TREL MTF page.
About TREL: sector, index & market-cap context
TREL (TREL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹661 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TREL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TREL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TREL analysis, FAQs
Is TREL (TREL) a good buy?
On the numbers, TREL (TREL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.3× earnings, ROE of 2.9%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TREL overvalued or undervalued?
TREL trades at 17.3× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the TREL share price target for 2031?
TREL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹30, with an 80% range of ₹10-₹89 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TREL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TREL reaching ₹52 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for TREL?
TREL's P/E of 17.3x is lower than 63% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.51×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in TREL?
TREL's return on equity of 2.9% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
More on TREL
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.