TRF
TRF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
TRF (TRF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TRF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, TRF (TRF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TRF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TRF history (-46%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRF 2027 | ₹72 | ₹132 | ₹242 | -44% |
| TRF 2028 | ₹32 | ₹74 | ₹175 | -68% |
| TRF 2029 | ₹15 | ₹42 | ₹120 | -82% |
| TRF 2030 | ₹7 | ₹24 | ₹82 | -90% |
| TRF 2031 | ₹3 | ₹14 | ₹54 | -94% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TRF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TRF
- TRF is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹120.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹15.
TRF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TRF compounded at -46%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹72–₹242, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TRF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TRF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TRF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TRF price target & forecast page.
TRF MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TRF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| DhanCHEAPEST | 60.0% | 1.7× |
Compare every broker on the TRF MTF page.
TRF vs peers,sector comparison
About TRF: sector, index & market-cap context
TRF (TRF) is an NSE-listed company.
How the TRF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of TRF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TRF analysis, FAQs
Is TRF (TRF) a good buy?
On the numbers, TRF (TRF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TRF overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for TRF are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the TRF share price target for 2031?
TRF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹14, with an 80% range of ₹3–₹54 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TRF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TRF reaching ₹468 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for TRF?
TRF is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TRF?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.