USHAMART
Usha Martin
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Usha Martin (USHAMART) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is USHAMART a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Usha Martin (USHAMART) trades at ₹481,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, Usha Martin (USHAMART) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 29.2× earnings, ROE of 16.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
USHAMART fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is USHAMART overvalued? USHAMART P/E vs its sector
USHAMART's P/E of 29.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.62% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
USHAMART share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of USHAMART history (9%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USHAMART 2027 | ₹300 | ₹483 | ₹782 | +2% |
| USHAMART 2028 | ₹254 | ₹500 | ₹976 | +5% |
| USHAMART 2029 | ₹220 | ₹509 | ₹1,163 | +7% |
| USHAMART 2030 | ₹197 | ₹517 | ₹1,337 | +9% |
| USHAMART 2031 | ₹182 | ₹528 | ₹1,529 | +11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability USHAMART goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for USHAMART
- A healthy 16.6% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,163.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹220.
USHAMART volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years USHAMART compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹300–₹782, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
USHAMART price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
USHAMART price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds USHAMART hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the USHAMART price target & forecast page.
USHAMART Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. USHAMART scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
USHAMART MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy USHAMART with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.4% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the USHAMART MTF page.
USHAMART vs peers,sector comparison
About Usha Martin: sector, index & market-cap context
Usha Martin (USHAMART) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,691 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the USHAMART Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Usha Martin's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
USHAMART analysis, FAQs
Is Usha Martin (USHAMART) a good buy?
On the numbers, Usha Martin (USHAMART) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 29.2× earnings, ROE of 16.6%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is USHAMART overvalued or undervalued?
USHAMART trades at 29.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the USHAMART share price target for 2031?
USHAMART's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹528, with an 80% range of ₹182–₹1,529 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability USHAMART doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of USHAMART reaching ₹952 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for USHAMART?
A healthy 16.6% return on equity. Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in USHAMART?
At 29.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.