UTIAMC
UTI Asset Management Company
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
UTI Asset Management Company (UTIAMC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is UTIAMC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
UTI Asset Management Company (UTIAMC) trades at ₹936,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.
On the numbers, UTI Asset Management Company (UTIAMC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing premium at 25.7× earnings, ROE of 10.3%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
UTIAMC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is UTIAMC overvalued? UTIAMC P/E vs its sector
UTIAMC's P/E of 25.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.78% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
UTIAMC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of UTIAMC history (-4%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTIAMC 2027 | ₹543 | ₹856 | ₹1,363 | -10% |
| UTIAMC 2028 | ₹412 | ₹779 | ₹1,492 | -18% |
| UTIAMC 2029 | ₹317 | ₹709 | ₹1,561 | -25% |
| UTIAMC 2030 | ₹255 | ₹643 | ₹1,625 | -32% |
| UTIAMC 2031 | ₹209 | ₹575 | ₹1,623 | -39% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability UTIAMC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for UTIAMC
- Pays a 2.8% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,561.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 10.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹317.
UTIAMC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years UTIAMC compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹543–₹1,363, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
UTIAMC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
UTIAMC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds UTIAMC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the UTIAMC price target & forecast page.
UTIAMC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. UTIAMC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
UTIAMC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy UTIAMC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.8% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the UTIAMC MTF page.
UTIAMC vs peers,sector comparison
About UTI Asset Management Company: sector, index & market-cap context
UTI Asset Management Company (UTIAMC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,045 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the UTIAMC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of UTI Asset Management Company's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
UTIAMC analysis, FAQs
Is UTI Asset Management Company (UTIAMC) a good buy?
On the numbers, UTI Asset Management Company (UTIAMC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing premium at 25.7× earnings, ROE of 10.3%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is UTIAMC overvalued or undervalued?
UTIAMC trades at 25.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the UTIAMC share price target for 2031?
UTIAMC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹575, with an 80% range of ₹209–₹1,623 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability UTIAMC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of UTIAMC reaching ₹1,901 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for UTIAMC?
Pays a 2.8% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in UTIAMC?
At 25.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.