VHL
VHL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
VHL (VHL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is VHL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
VHL (VHL) trades at ₹3,575,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, VHL (VHL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 5.3× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
VHL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is VHL overvalued? VHL P/E vs its sector
VHL's P/E of 5.3× sits below the sector peer median of 14.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.14% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.63%.
VHL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of VHL history (-6%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VHL 2027 | ₹1,768 | ₹3,009 | ₹5,114 | -15% |
| VHL 2028 | ₹1,212 | ₹2,598 | ₹5,486 | -26% |
| VHL 2029 | ₹892 | ₹2,242 | ₹5,566 | -37% |
| VHL 2030 | ₹663 | ₹1,920 | ₹5,623 | -46% |
| VHL 2031 | ₹494 | ₹1,650 | ₹5,457 | -53% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability VHL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for VHL
- Trades at just 5.3× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 0.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,566.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 5.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹892.
VHL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years VHL compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,768-₹5,114, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
VHL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
VHL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds VHL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the VHL price target & forecast page.
VHL Piotroski F-Score: 5/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. VHL scores 5/9,mixed financial health.
VHL vs peers,sector comparison
About VHL: sector, index & market-cap context
VHL (VHL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,140 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the VHL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VHL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
VHL analysis, FAQs
Is VHL (VHL) a good buy?
On the numbers, VHL (VHL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 5.3× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is VHL overvalued or undervalued?
VHL trades at 5.3× earnings versus a peer median of 14.0×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the VHL share price target for 2031?
VHL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,650, with an 80% range of ₹494-₹5,457 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability VHL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of VHL reaching ₹7,068 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for VHL?
Trades at just 5.3× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 0.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in VHL?
Return on equity is a soft 5.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.