Case study

VHL

VHL

Worth a closer look1y model +3.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

VHL (VHL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about VHL, and the method behind each one.

VHL (VHL) trades at ₹3,440,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, VHL (VHL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.2× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

VHL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,044 Cr
Current price
₹3,440
P/E ratio
4.2×
P/B ratio
0.29×
Book value
₹11,799
Dividend yield
0.15%
ROCE
6.3%
ROE
5.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How VHL ranks against the 3,124 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for VHL, as of 18 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is VHL overvalued? VHL P/E vs peers

VHL trades at 4.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

VHL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of VHL history (10%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
VHL 2027₹2,127₹3,586₹6,044+3%
VHL 2028₹1,787₹3,700₹7,665+6%
VHL 2029₹1,557₹3,819₹9,367+10%
VHL 2030₹1,412₹3,941₹10,999+13%
VHL 2031₹1,272₹4,066₹13,002+17%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability VHL goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹6,950 within 5 years

The bull case for VHL

  • VHL's P/E of 4.2x is lower than 95% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.29×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹9,367.

The bear case & risks

  • VHL's return on equity of 5.9% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,557.

VHL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years VHL compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,127-₹6,044, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

VHL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.2%
80% range₹2,127-₹6,044
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.9%
80% range₹1,557-₹9,367
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
17.0%
80% range₹1,272-₹13,002
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)28%

VHL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
VHL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds VHL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the VHL price target & forecast page.

VHL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. VHL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

VHL MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VHL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Share IndiaCHEAPEST31.65%3.2×

Compare every broker on the VHL MTF page.

About VHL: sector, index & market-cap context

VHL (VHL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,044 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the VHL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of VHL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

VHL analysis, FAQs

Is VHL (VHL) a good buy?

On the numbers, VHL (VHL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 4.2× earnings, ROE of 5.9%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is VHL overvalued or undervalued?

VHL trades at 4.2× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the VHL share price target for 2031?

VHL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,066, with an 80% range of ₹1,272-₹13,002 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability VHL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of VHL reaching ₹6,950 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for VHL?

VHL's P/E of 4.2x is lower than 95% of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.29×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in VHL?

VHL's return on equity of 5.9% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 3,124 NSE companies in our screener, as of 18 Aug 2026.

More on VHL

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.