Case study

BIOCON

BIOCON LIMITED.

Tread carefully1y model +6.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

BIOCON LIMITED. (BIOCON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is BIOCON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BIOCON LIMITED. (BIOCON) trades at ₹426,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, BIOCON LIMITED. (BIOCON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 95.5× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

BIOCON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹69,482 Cr
Current price
₹426
P/E ratio
95.5×
P/B ratio
2.03×
Book value
₹210
Dividend yield
0.12%
ROCE
3.6%
ROE
1.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How BIOCON ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is BIOCON overvalued? BIOCON P/E vs its Pharma

BIOCON's P/E of 95.5× sits above the Pharma peer median of 33.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.12% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.68%.

BIOCON P/E
95.5×
Peer median P/E
33.0×
BIOCON div yield
0.12%
Peer median yield
0.68%

BIOCON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of BIOCON history (11%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
BIOCON 2027₹304₹452₹672+6%
BIOCON 2028₹274₹479₹837+12%
BIOCON 2029₹253₹508₹1,021+19%
BIOCON 2030₹244₹539₹1,187+26%
BIOCON 2031₹234₹571₹1,395+34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability BIOCON goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
66%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹853 within 5 years

The bull case for BIOCON

  • BIOCON LIMITED. is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,021.

The bear case & risks

  • BIOCON's P/E of 95.5x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • BIOCON's return on equity of 1.4% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹253.

BIOCON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years BIOCON compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹304-₹672, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

BIOCON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.0%
80% range₹304-₹672
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.2%
80% range₹253-₹1,021
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
34.0%
80% range₹234-₹1,395
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)28%

BIOCON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
BIOCON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds BIOCON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the BIOCON price target & forecast page.

BIOCON Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. BIOCON scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

BIOCON MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BIOCON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.49%3.9×
Zerodha24.70%4.0×
Groww24.71%4.0×
Dhan24.00%4.2×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST22.03%4.5×
Paytm Money22.36%4.5×
Pocketful29.32%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.01%3.4×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India29.00%3.4×

Compare every broker on the BIOCON MTF page.

BIOCON vs peers,Pharma comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
BIOCON (this stock)95.5×0.12%₹69,482 Cr
SUNPHARMA36.9×0.82%₹4.67L Cr
DIVISLAB73.7×0.36%₹2.20L Cr
DRREDDY30.4×0.68%₹97,824 Cr
CIPLA33.0×0.89%₹1.18L Cr
LUPIN18.2×0.76%₹1.08L Cr
AUROPHARMA25.5×0.24%₹96,297 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About BIOCON LIMITED.: sector, index & market-cap context

BIOCON LIMITED. (BIOCON) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Pharma sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹69,482 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the BIOCON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BIOCON LIMITED.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

BIOCON analysis, FAQs

Is BIOCON LIMITED. (BIOCON) a good buy?

On the numbers, BIOCON LIMITED. (BIOCON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 95.5× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is BIOCON overvalued or undervalued?

BIOCON trades at 95.5× earnings versus a peer median of 33.0×, so it screens richer than its Pharma peers.

What is the BIOCON share price target for 2031?

BIOCON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹571, with an 80% range of ₹234-₹1,395 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability BIOCON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of BIOCON reaching ₹853 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for BIOCON?

BIOCON LIMITED. is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in BIOCON?

BIOCON's P/E of 95.5x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. BIOCON's return on equity of 1.4% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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