GILT5BETA
UTIAMC-GILT5BETA
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
UTIAMC-GILT5BETA (GILT5BETA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GILT5BETA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, UTIAMC-GILT5BETA (GILT5BETA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 72% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GILT5BETA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.9y of GILT5BETA history (8%/yr drift, 13%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GILT5BETA 2027 | ₹60 | ₹71 | ₹84 | +8% |
| GILT5BETA 2028 | ₹60 | ₹76 | ₹97 | +16% |
| GILT5BETA 2029 | ₹61 | ₹82 | ₹111 | +26% |
| GILT5BETA 2030 | ₹63 | ₹89 | ₹125 | +35% |
| GILT5BETA 2031 | ₹65 | ₹95 | ₹140 | +45% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GILT5BETA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GILT5BETA
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 72% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹71 (+8%).
- Relatively low volatility (13%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹111.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹61.
GILT5BETA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.9 years GILT5BETA compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 13%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹60–₹84, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GILT5BETA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GILT5BETA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GILT5BETA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GILT5BETA price target & forecast page.
GILT5BETA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GILT5BETA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 25.0% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the GILT5BETA MTF page.
GILT5BETA vs peers,sector comparison
About UTIAMC-GILT5BETA: sector, index & market-cap context
UTIAMC-GILT5BETA (GILT5BETA) is an NSE-listed company.
How the GILT5BETA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of UTIAMC-GILT5BETA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GILT5BETA analysis, FAQs
Is UTIAMC-GILT5BETA (GILT5BETA) a good buy?
On the numbers, UTIAMC-GILT5BETA (GILT5BETA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 72% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GILT5BETA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for GILT5BETA are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the GILT5BETA share price target for 2031?
GILT5BETA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹95, with an 80% range of ₹65–₹140 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GILT5BETA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GILT5BETA reaching ₹131 (2×) within 5 years is 15%.
What is the bull case for GILT5BETA?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 72% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹71 (+8%). Relatively low volatility (13%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in GILT5BETA?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.