Case study

MANKIND

Mankind Pharma

Tread carefully1y model +1.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Mankind Pharma (MANKIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MANKIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Mankind Pharma (MANKIND) trades at ₹2,538,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, Mankind Pharma (MANKIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 52.1× earnings, ROE of 13.1%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MANKIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.05L Cr
Current price
₹2,538
P/E ratio
52.1×
P/B ratio
6.43×
Book value
₹395
Dividend yield
0.04%
ROCE
13.5%
ROE
13.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MANKIND overvalued? MANKIND P/E vs its Pharma

MANKIND's P/E of 52.1× sits above the Pharma peer median of 30.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.04% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.51%.

MANKIND P/E
52.1×
Peer median P/E
30.0×
MANKIND div yield
0.04%
Peer median yield
0.51%

MANKIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MANKIND history (6%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MANKIND 2027₹1,687₹2,451₹3,569+2%
MANKIND 2028₹1,460₹2,489₹4,240+3%
MANKIND 2029₹1,308₹2,545₹4,874+5%
MANKIND 2030₹1,208₹2,562₹5,476+6%
MANKIND 2031₹1,132₹2,611₹6,091+8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MANKIND goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
18%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,828 within 5 years

The bull case for MANKIND

  • A healthy 13.1% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,874.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 52.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,308.

MANKIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MANKIND compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,687₹3,569, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MANKIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹1,687–₹3,569
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.4%
80% range₹1,308–₹4,874
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)10%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.1%
80% range₹1,132–₹6,091
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)18%

MANKIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MANKIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MANKIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MANKIND price target & forecast page.

MANKIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MANKIND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MANKIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANKIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox28.5%3.5×
Zerodha24.3%4.1×
DhanCHEAPEST23.0%4.3×

Compare every broker on the MANKIND MTF page.

MANKIND vs peers,Pharma comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MANKIND (this stock)52.1×0.04%₹1.05L Cr
SUNPHARMA35.8×0.86%₹4.47L Cr
DIVISLAB68.7×0.44%₹1.80L Cr
DRREDDY25.7×0.62%₹1.08L Cr
CIPLA30.0×0.92%₹1.14L Cr
LUPIN18.6×0.51%₹1.07L Cr
AUROPHARMA24.4×0.27%₹86,647 Cr

About Mankind Pharma: sector, index & market-cap context

Mankind Pharma (MANKIND) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Pharma sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.05L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the MANKIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mankind Pharma's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MANKIND analysis, FAQs

Is Mankind Pharma (MANKIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mankind Pharma (MANKIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 52.1× earnings, ROE of 13.1%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MANKIND overvalued or undervalued?

MANKIND trades at 52.1× earnings versus a peer median of 30.0×, so it screens richer than its Pharma peers.

What is the MANKIND share price target for 2031?

MANKIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,611, with an 80% range of ₹1,132₹6,091 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MANKIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MANKIND reaching ₹4,828 (2×) within 5 years is 18%.

What is the bull case for MANKIND?

A healthy 13.1% return on equity.

What are the risks in MANKIND?

A rich 52.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.

More on MANKIND