PERSISTENT
Persistent Systems
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Persistent Systems (PERSISTENT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PERSISTENT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Persistent Systems (PERSISTENT) trades at ₹4,860,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, Persistent Systems (PERSISTENT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 39.7× earnings, ROE of 27.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PERSISTENT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PERSISTENT overvalued? PERSISTENT P/E vs its IT
PERSISTENT's P/E of 39.7× sits above the IT peer median of 16.2×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.72% dividend yield is below the peer median of 4.03%.
PERSISTENT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PERSISTENT history (10%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PERSISTENT 2027 | ₹3,194 | ₹5,014 | ₹7,881 | +4% |
| PERSISTENT 2028 | ₹2,733 | ₹5,194 | ₹9,991 | +8% |
| PERSISTENT 2029 | ₹2,456 | ₹5,418 | ₹11,991 | +12% |
| PERSISTENT 2030 | ₹2,225 | ₹5,575 | ₹14,094 | +15% |
| PERSISTENT 2031 | ₹2,118 | ₹5,737 | ₹16,332 | +19% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PERSISTENT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PERSISTENT
- High return on equity (27.3%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (34.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,991.
The bear case & risks
- At 39.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,456.
PERSISTENT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PERSISTENT compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,194–₹7,881, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PERSISTENT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PERSISTENT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PERSISTENT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PERSISTENT price target & forecast page.
PERSISTENT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PERSISTENT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
PERSISTENT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PERSISTENT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.5% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 26.8% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.5% | 4.1× |
Compare every broker on the PERSISTENT MTF page.
PERSISTENT vs peers,IT comparison
About Persistent Systems: sector, index & market-cap context
Persistent Systems (PERSISTENT) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the IT sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹76,699 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the PERSISTENT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Persistent Systems's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PERSISTENT analysis, FAQs
Is Persistent Systems (PERSISTENT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Persistent Systems (PERSISTENT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 39.7× earnings, ROE of 27.3%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PERSISTENT overvalued or undervalued?
PERSISTENT trades at 39.7× earnings versus a peer median of 16.2×, so it screens richer than its IT peers.
What is the PERSISTENT share price target for 2031?
PERSISTENT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5,737, with an 80% range of ₹2,118–₹16,332 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PERSISTENT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PERSISTENT reaching ₹9,658 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for PERSISTENT?
High return on equity (27.3%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (34.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in PERSISTENT?
At 39.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.