SBILIFE
SBI Life Insurance
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
SBI Life Insurance (SBILIFE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SBILIFE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, SBI Life Insurance (SBILIFE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SBILIFE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SBILIFE history (11%/yr drift, 22%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBILIFE 2027 | ₹1,466 | ₹1,960 | ₹2,613 | +9% |
| SBILIFE 2028 | ₹1,422 | ₹2,134 | ₹3,211 | +19% |
| SBILIFE 2029 | ₹1,416 | ₹2,345 | ₹3,789 | +30% |
| SBILIFE 2030 | ₹1,421 | ₹2,542 | ₹4,473 | +41% |
| SBILIFE 2031 | ₹1,455 | ₹2,761 | ₹5,171 | +53% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SBILIFE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SBILIFE
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,960 (+9%).
- Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,789.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,416.
SBILIFE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SBILIFE compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 22%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,466–₹2,613, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SBILIFE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SBILIFE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SBILIFE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SBILIFE price target & forecast page.
SBILIFE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SBILIFE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.5% | 3.8× |
| Zerodha | 22.6% | 4.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.0% | 4.5× |
Compare every broker on the SBILIFE MTF page.
SBILIFE vs peers,Insurance comparison
About SBI Life Insurance: sector, index & market-cap context
SBI Life Insurance (SBILIFE) is an NSE-listed company in the Insurance sector.
How the SBILIFE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SBI Life Insurance's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SBILIFE analysis, FAQs
Is SBI Life Insurance (SBILIFE) a good buy?
On the numbers, SBI Life Insurance (SBILIFE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SBILIFE overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for SBILIFE are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the SBILIFE share price target for 2031?
SBILIFE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,761, with an 80% range of ₹1,455–₹5,171 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SBILIFE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SBILIFE reaching ₹3,600 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for SBILIFE?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,960 (+9%). Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in SBILIFE?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.