Case study

ZYDUSLIFE

Zydus Lifesciences

Worth a closer look1y model -3.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ZYDUSLIFE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE) trades at ₹1,086,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.

On the numbers, Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.1× earnings, ROE of 21.2%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ZYDUSLIFE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.09L Cr
Current price
₹1,086
P/E ratio
20.1×
P/B ratio
4.04×
Book value
₹269
Dividend yield
0.09%
ROCE
21.2%
ROE
21.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is ZYDUSLIFE overvalued? ZYDUSLIFE P/E vs its Pharma

ZYDUSLIFE's P/E of 20.1× sits below the Pharma peer median of 25.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.09% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.51%.

ZYDUSLIFE P/E
20.1×
Peer median P/E
25.7×
ZYDUSLIFE div yield
0.09%
Peer median yield
0.51%

ZYDUSLIFE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ZYDUSLIFE history (-0%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ZYDUSLIFE 2027₹761₹1,035₹1,402-3%
ZYDUSLIFE 2028₹644₹1,006₹1,550-6%
ZYDUSLIFE 2029₹566₹969₹1,659-9%
ZYDUSLIFE 2030₹498₹936₹1,749-13%
ZYDUSLIFE 2031₹455₹902₹1,800-16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ZYDUSLIFE goes up, or doubles?

44%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
37%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,142 within 5 years

The bull case for ZYDUSLIFE

  • A 20.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (21.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (21.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,659.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹566.

ZYDUSLIFE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years ZYDUSLIFE compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹761₹1,402, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ZYDUSLIFE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹761–₹1,402
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.5%
80% range₹566–₹1,659
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.8%
80% range₹455–₹1,800
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)5%

ZYDUSLIFE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ZYDUSLIFE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ZYDUSLIFE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ZYDUSLIFE price target & forecast page.

ZYDUSLIFE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ZYDUSLIFE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

ZYDUSLIFE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ZYDUSLIFE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.9%3.7×
Zerodha23.0%4.3×
DhanCHEAPEST22.0%4.5×

Compare every broker on the ZYDUSLIFE MTF page.

ZYDUSLIFE vs peers,Pharma comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
ZYDUSLIFE (this stock)20.1×0.09%₹1.09L Cr
SUNPHARMA35.8×0.86%₹4.47L Cr
DIVISLAB68.7×0.44%₹1.80L Cr
DRREDDY25.7×0.62%₹1.08L Cr
CIPLA30.0×0.92%₹1.14L Cr
LUPIN18.6×0.51%₹1.07L Cr
AUROPHARMA24.4×0.27%₹86,647 Cr

About Zydus Lifesciences: sector, index & market-cap context

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Pharma sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.09L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the ZYDUSLIFE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Zydus Lifesciences's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ZYDUSLIFE analysis, FAQs

Is Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIFE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.1× earnings, ROE of 21.2%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ZYDUSLIFE overvalued or undervalued?

ZYDUSLIFE trades at 20.1× earnings versus a peer median of 25.7×, so it screens cheaper than its Pharma peers.

What is the ZYDUSLIFE share price target for 2031?

ZYDUSLIFE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹902, with an 80% range of ₹455₹1,800 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ZYDUSLIFE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ZYDUSLIFE reaching ₹2,142 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for ZYDUSLIFE?

A 20.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (21.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (21.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in ZYDUSLIFE?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on ZYDUSLIFE