COCHINSHIP
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED (COCHINSHIP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is COCHINSHIP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED (COCHINSHIP) trades at ₹1,520,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED (COCHINSHIP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 55.8× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
COCHINSHIP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How COCHINSHIP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- COCHINSHIP's market cap of 39,980 Cr ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COCHINSHIP's book value of ₹223 ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COCHINSHIP's promoter holding of 67.9% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COCHINSHIP's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 40.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COCHINSHIP's 3-year revenue growth of 29.0% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- COCHINSHIP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is COCHINSHIP overvalued? COCHINSHIP P/E vs its Defence
COCHINSHIP's P/E of 55.8× sits above the Defence peer median of 35.5×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.49% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.72%.
COCHINSHIP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.8y of COCHINSHIP history (20%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COCHINSHIP 2027 | ₹880 | ₹1,555 | ₹2,745 | +2% |
| COCHINSHIP 2028 | ₹725 | ₹1,591 | ₹3,487 | +5% |
| COCHINSHIP 2029 | ₹621 | ₹1,627 | ₹4,265 | +7% |
| COCHINSHIP 2030 | ₹551 | ₹1,665 | ₹5,028 | +10% |
| COCHINSHIP 2031 | ₹479 | ₹1,703 | ₹6,059 | +12% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability COCHINSHIP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for COCHINSHIP
- COCHINSHIP's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,265.
The bear case & risks
- COCHINSHIP's P/E of 55.8x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹621.
COCHINSHIP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.8 years COCHINSHIP compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹880-₹2,745, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
COCHINSHIP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
COCHINSHIP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds COCHINSHIP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the COCHINSHIP price target & forecast page.
COCHINSHIP Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. COCHINSHIP scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
COCHINSHIP MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy COCHINSHIP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.43% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 29.80% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.77% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 28.05% | 3.6× |
| Pocketful | 35.37% | 2.8× |
| Fyers | 35.71% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.90% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 39.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 34.93% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the COCHINSHIP MTF page.
COCHINSHIP vs peers,Defence comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| COCHINSHIP (this stock) | 55.8× | 0.49% | ₹39,980 Cr |
| BEL | 47.7× | 0.62% | ₹2.93L Cr |
| HAL | 36.0× | 0.92% | ₹3.28L Cr |
| MAZDOCK | 35.5× | 0.72% | ₹1.01L Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| TCS | 16.5× | 2.61% | ₹8.87L Cr |
| HDFCBANK | 14.3× | 1.78% | ₹11.26L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED (COCHINSHIP) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Defence sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹39,980 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the COCHINSHIP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
COCHINSHIP analysis, FAQs
Is COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED (COCHINSHIP) a good buy?
On the numbers, COCHIN SHIPYARD LIMITED (COCHINSHIP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 55.8× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is COCHINSHIP overvalued or undervalued?
COCHINSHIP trades at 55.8× earnings versus a peer median of 35.5×, so it screens richer than its Defence peers.
What is the COCHINSHIP share price target for 2031?
COCHINSHIP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,703, with an 80% range of ₹479-₹6,059 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability COCHINSHIP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of COCHINSHIP reaching ₹3,039 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for COCHINSHIP?
COCHINSHIP's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in COCHINSHIP?
COCHINSHIP's P/E of 55.8x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.