MAZDOCK
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MAZDOCK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) trades at ₹2,515,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 35.5× earnings, ROE of 29.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MAZDOCK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MAZDOCK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MAZDOCK's market cap of 1.01L Cr ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAZDOCK's book value of ₹242 ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAZDOCK's promoter holding of 81.2% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAZDOCK's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 32.0% ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAZDOCK's 3-year revenue growth of 18.0% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAZDOCK's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05x is lower than 86% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MAZDOCK overvalued? MAZDOCK P/E vs its Defence
MAZDOCK's P/E of 35.5× sits above the Defence peer median of 35.5×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.72% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.72%.
MAZDOCK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.7y of MAZDOCK history (59%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAZDOCK 2027 | ₹1,501 | ₹2,627 | ₹4,600 | +4% |
| MAZDOCK 2028 | ₹1,246 | ₹2,745 | ₹6,047 | +9% |
| MAZDOCK 2029 | ₹1,081 | ₹2,868 | ₹7,609 | +14% |
| MAZDOCK 2030 | ₹973 | ₹2,996 | ₹9,227 | +19% |
| MAZDOCK 2031 | ₹874 | ₹3,130 | ₹11,212 | +24% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MAZDOCK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MAZDOCK
- MAZDOCK's return on equity of 29.2% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAZDOCK's return on capital employed of 36.0% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,609.
The bear case & risks
- MAZDOCK's P/E of 35.5x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 10.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,081.
MAZDOCK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 5.7 years MAZDOCK compounded at 59%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,501-₹4,600, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MAZDOCK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MAZDOCK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MAZDOCK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MAZDOCK price target & forecast page.
MAZDOCK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MAZDOCK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
MAZDOCK MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MAZDOCK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.87% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 29.30% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 28.00% | 3.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 27.44% | 3.6× |
| Pocketful | 34.68% | 2.9× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.32% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 32.00% | 3.1× |
| Share India | 34.25% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the MAZDOCK MTF page.
MAZDOCK vs peers,Defence comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAZDOCK (this stock) | 35.5× | 0.72% | ₹1.01L Cr |
| BEL | 47.7× | 0.62% | ₹2.93L Cr |
| HAL | 36.0× | 0.92% | ₹3.28L Cr |
| COCHINSHIP | 55.8× | 0.49% | ₹39,980 Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| TCS | 16.5× | 2.61% | ₹8.87L Cr |
| HDFCBANK | 14.3× | 1.78% | ₹11.26L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Defence sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.01L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MAZDOCK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MAZDOCK analysis, FAQs
Is Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 35.5× earnings, ROE of 29.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MAZDOCK overvalued or undervalued?
MAZDOCK trades at 35.5× earnings versus a peer median of 35.5×, so it screens richer than its Defence peers.
What is the MAZDOCK share price target for 2031?
MAZDOCK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,130, with an 80% range of ₹874-₹11,212 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MAZDOCK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MAZDOCK reaching ₹5,030 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for MAZDOCK?
MAZDOCK's return on equity of 29.2% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MAZDOCK's return on capital employed of 36.0% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MAZDOCK?
MAZDOCK's P/E of 35.5x is lower than 39% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.