DLF
DLF LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
DLF LIMITED (DLF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is DLF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
DLF LIMITED (DLF) trades at ₹642,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, DLF LIMITED (DLF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 36.9× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
DLF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How DLF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- DLF's market cap of 1.59L Cr ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DLF's book value of ₹184 ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DLF's promoter holding of 74.1% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DLF's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 27.0% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DLF's 3-year revenue growth of 13.0% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DLF's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is DLF overvalued? DLF P/E vs its Realty
DLF's P/E of 36.9× sits above the Realty peer median of 29.5×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.25% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.45%.
DLF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of DLF history (14%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLF 2027 | ₹459 | ₹689 | ₹1,035 | +7% |
| DLF 2028 | ₹419 | ₹740 | ₹1,306 | +15% |
| DLF 2029 | ₹393 | ₹794 | ₹1,604 | +24% |
| DLF 2030 | ₹381 | ₹852 | ₹1,907 | +33% |
| DLF 2031 | ₹371 | ₹915 | ₹2,255 | +43% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability DLF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for DLF
- DLF LIMITED is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,604.
The bear case & risks
- DLF's P/E of 36.9x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- DLF's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹393.
DLF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years DLF compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹459-₹1,035, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
DLF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
DLF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds DLF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the DLF price target & forecast page.
DLF Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DLF scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
DLF MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DLF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.88% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 25.90% | 3.9× |
| Groww | 25.90% | 3.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.34% | 4.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Paytm Money | 23.47% | 4.3× |
| Pocketful | 30.41% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.34% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 24.00% | 4.2× |
| Share India | 30.34% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the DLF MTF page.
DLF vs peers,Realty comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF (this stock) | 36.9× | 1.25% | ₹1.59L Cr |
| OBEROIRLTY | 24.4× | 0.45% | ₹64,539 Cr |
| GODREJPROP | 38.5× | 0.48% | ₹62,354 Cr |
| LODHA | 29.5× | 0.35% | ₹1.22L Cr |
| PRESTIGE | 59.9× | 0.13% | ₹68,262 Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| TCS | 16.5× | 2.61% | ₹8.87L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About DLF LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
DLF LIMITED (DLF) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Realty sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.59L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the DLF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DLF LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
DLF analysis, FAQs
Is DLF LIMITED (DLF) a good buy?
On the numbers, DLF LIMITED (DLF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 36.9× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is DLF overvalued or undervalued?
DLF trades at 36.9× earnings versus a peer median of 29.5×, so it screens richer than its Realty peers.
What is the DLF share price target for 2031?
DLF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹915, with an 80% range of ₹371-₹2,255 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability DLF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of DLF reaching ₹1,284 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for DLF?
DLF LIMITED is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in DLF?
DLF's P/E of 36.9x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. DLF's return on equity of 9.5% ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.