LODHA
Macrotech Developers Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LODHA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) trades at ₹1,219,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 29.5× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
LODHA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How LODHA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- LODHA's market cap of 1.22L Cr ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- LODHA's book value of ₹233 ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- LODHA's promoter holding of 70.3% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- LODHA's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 56.0% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- LODHA's 3-year revenue growth of 21.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- LODHA's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is LODHA overvalued? LODHA P/E vs its Realty
LODHA's P/E of 29.5× sits above the Realty peer median of 29.5×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.35% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.45%.
LODHA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.2y of LODHA history (32%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LODHA 2027 | ₹759 | ₹1,270 | ₹2,125 | +4% |
| LODHA 2028 | ₹642 | ₹1,323 | ₹2,724 | +9% |
| LODHA 2029 | ₹566 | ₹1,378 | ₹3,357 | +13% |
| LODHA 2030 | ₹511 | ₹1,436 | ₹4,034 | +18% |
| LODHA 2031 | ₹474 | ₹1,496 | ₹4,720 | +23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LODHA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LODHA
- LODHA's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,357.
The bear case & risks
- LODHA's P/E of 29.5x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹566.
LODHA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 5.2 years LODHA compounded at 32%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹759-₹2,125, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LODHA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LODHA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LODHA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LODHA price target & forecast page.
LODHA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. LODHA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
LODHA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LODHA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.61% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 29.00% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.12% | 3.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 27.06% | 3.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 27.22% | 3.7× |
| Pocketful | 33.86% | 3.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.07% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 28.00% | 3.6× |
| Share India | 34.16% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the LODHA MTF page.
LODHA vs peers,Realty comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| LODHA (this stock) | 29.5× | 0.35% | ₹1.22L Cr |
| DLF | 36.9× | 1.25% | ₹1.59L Cr |
| OBEROIRLTY | 24.4× | 0.45% | ₹64,539 Cr |
| GODREJPROP | 38.5× | 0.48% | ₹62,354 Cr |
| PRESTIGE | 59.9× | 0.13% | ₹68,262 Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| TCS | 16.5× | 2.61% | ₹8.87L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Macrotech Developers Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Realty sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.22L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the LODHA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Macrotech Developers Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LODHA analysis, FAQs
Is Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Macrotech Developers Limited (LODHA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 29.5× earnings, ROE of 15.5%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LODHA overvalued or undervalued?
LODHA trades at 29.5× earnings versus a peer median of 29.5×, so it screens richer than its Realty peers.
What is the LODHA share price target for 2031?
LODHA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,496, with an 80% range of ₹474-₹4,720 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LODHA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LODHA reaching ₹2,437 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for LODHA?
LODHA's return on equity of 15.5% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in LODHA?
LODHA's P/E of 29.5x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.