Case study

OBEROIRLTY

OBEROI REALTY LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +8.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

65Score

OBEROI REALTY LIMITED (OBEROIRLTY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is OBEROIRLTY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

OBEROI REALTY LIMITED (OBEROIRLTY) trades at ₹1,775,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100.

On the numbers, OBEROI REALTY LIMITED (OBEROIRLTY) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.4× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

OBEROIRLTY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹64,539 Cr
Current price
₹1,775
P/E ratio
24.4×
P/B ratio
3.60×
Book value
₹493
Dividend yield
0.45%
ROCE
17.3%
ROE
14.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How OBEROIRLTY ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is OBEROIRLTY overvalued? OBEROIRLTY P/E vs its Realty

OBEROIRLTY's P/E of 24.4× sits below the Realty peer median of 29.5×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.45% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.45%.

OBEROIRLTY P/E
24.4×
Peer median P/E
29.5×
OBEROIRLTY div yield
0.45%
Peer median yield
0.45%

OBEROIRLTY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of OBEROIRLTY history (18%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
OBEROIRLTY 2027₹1,276₹1,917₹2,880+8%
OBEROIRLTY 2028₹1,170₹2,071₹3,664+17%
OBEROIRLTY 2029₹1,118₹2,237₹4,474+26%
OBEROIRLTY 2030₹1,091₹2,416₹5,349+36%
OBEROIRLTY 2031₹1,083₹2,609₹6,287+47%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability OBEROIRLTY goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,550 within 5 years

The bull case for OBEROIRLTY

  • OBEROIRLTY's P/E of 24.4x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • OBEROIRLTY's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,917 (+8%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,474.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,118.

OBEROIRLTY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years OBEROIRLTY compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,276-₹2,880, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

OBEROIRLTY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.0%
80% range₹1,276-₹2,880
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.0%
80% range₹1,118-₹4,474
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
47.0%
80% range₹1,083-₹6,287
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)33%

OBEROIRLTY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
OBEROIRLTY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds OBEROIRLTY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the OBEROIRLTY price target & forecast page.

OBEROIRLTY Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. OBEROIRLTY scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

OBEROIRLTY MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy OBEROIRLTY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.78%3.9×
Zerodha24.90%4.0×
Groww24.94%4.0×
DhanCHEAPEST23.00%4.3×
Kotak Neo25.00%4.0×
Paytm Money27.28%3.7×
Pocketful29.38%3.4×
Fyers30.30%3.3×
Anand Rathi29.25%3.4×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India29.15%3.4×

Compare every broker on the OBEROIRLTY MTF page.

OBEROIRLTY vs peers,Realty comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
OBEROIRLTY (this stock)24.4×0.45%₹64,539 Cr
DLF36.9×1.25%₹1.59L Cr
GODREJPROP38.5×0.48%₹62,354 Cr
LODHA29.5×0.35%₹1.22L Cr
PRESTIGE59.9×0.13%₹68,262 Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
TCS16.5×2.61%₹8.87L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About OBEROI REALTY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

OBEROI REALTY LIMITED (OBEROIRLTY) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Realty sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹64,539 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the OBEROIRLTY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of OBEROI REALTY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

OBEROIRLTY analysis, FAQs

Is OBEROI REALTY LIMITED (OBEROIRLTY) a good buy?

On the numbers, OBEROI REALTY LIMITED (OBEROIRLTY) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 65/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.4× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is OBEROIRLTY overvalued or undervalued?

OBEROIRLTY trades at 24.4× earnings versus a peer median of 29.5×, so it screens cheaper than its Realty peers.

What is the OBEROIRLTY share price target for 2031?

OBEROIRLTY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,609, with an 80% range of ₹1,083-₹6,287 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability OBEROIRLTY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of OBEROIRLTY reaching ₹3,550 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for OBEROIRLTY?

OBEROIRLTY's P/E of 24.4x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. OBEROIRLTY's return on equity of 14.6% ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,917 (+8%).

What are the risks in OBEROIRLTY?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on OBEROIRLTY