OBEROIRLTY
Oberoi Realty
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Oberoi Realty (OBEROIRLTY) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is OBEROIRLTY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Oberoi Realty (OBEROIRLTY) trades at ₹1,691,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Oberoi Realty (OBEROIRLTY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
OBEROIRLTY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is OBEROIRLTY overvalued? OBEROIRLTY P/E vs its Realty
OBEROIRLTY's P/E of 25.1× sits below the Realty peer median of 27.0×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.47% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.47%.
OBEROIRLTY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of OBEROIRLTY history (-6%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBEROIRLTY 2027 | ₹999 | ₹1,499 | ₹2,256 | -11% |
| OBEROIRLTY 2028 | ₹751 | ₹1,336 | ₹2,383 | -21% |
| OBEROIRLTY 2029 | ₹589 | ₹1,195 | ₹2,455 | -29% |
| OBEROIRLTY 2030 | ₹474 | ₹1,075 | ₹2,426 | -36% |
| OBEROIRLTY 2031 | ₹383 | ₹954 | ₹2,400 | -43% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability OBEROIRLTY goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for OBEROIRLTY
- A healthy 14.6% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,455.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹589.
OBEROIRLTY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years OBEROIRLTY compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹999–₹2,256, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
OBEROIRLTY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
OBEROIRLTY price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds OBEROIRLTY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the OBEROIRLTY price target & forecast page.
OBEROIRLTY Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. OBEROIRLTY scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
OBEROIRLTY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy OBEROIRLTY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.4% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 25.1% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.0% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the OBEROIRLTY MTF page.
OBEROIRLTY vs peers,Realty comparison
About Oberoi Realty: sector, index & market-cap context
Oberoi Realty (OBEROIRLTY) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Realty sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹61,460 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the OBEROIRLTY Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Oberoi Realty's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
OBEROIRLTY analysis, FAQs
Is Oberoi Realty (OBEROIRLTY) a good buy?
On the numbers, Oberoi Realty (OBEROIRLTY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 14.6%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is OBEROIRLTY overvalued or undervalued?
OBEROIRLTY trades at 25.1× earnings versus a peer median of 27.0×, so it screens cheaper than its Realty peers.
What is the OBEROIRLTY share price target for 2031?
OBEROIRLTY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹954, with an 80% range of ₹383–₹2,400 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability OBEROIRLTY doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of OBEROIRLTY reaching ₹3,367 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for OBEROIRLTY?
A healthy 14.6% return on equity.
What are the risks in OBEROIRLTY?
At 25.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.