Case study

GODREJPROP

Godrej Properties

Tread carefully1y model -29.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GODREJPROP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) trades at ₹1,799,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.0× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GODREJPROP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹54,233 Cr
Current price
₹1,799
P/E ratio
29.0×
P/B ratio
2.83×
Book value
₹636
Dividend yield
0.56%
ROCE
8.3%
ROE
10.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GODREJPROP overvalued? GODREJPROP P/E vs its Realty

GODREJPROP's P/E of 29.0× sits above the Realty peer median of 27.0×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.56% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.47%.

GODREJPROP P/E
29.0×
Peer median P/E
27.0×
GODREJPROP div yield
0.56%
Peer median yield
0.47%

GODREJPROP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GODREJPROP history (-28%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GODREJPROP 2027₹792₹1,266₹2,033-29%
GODREJPROP 2028₹461₹895₹1,734-50%
GODREJPROP 2029₹280₹631₹1,424-65%
GODREJPROP 2030₹171₹453₹1,143-75%
GODREJPROP 2031₹110₹317₹906-82%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GODREJPROP goes up, or doubles?

17%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
2%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,592 within 5 years

The bull case for GODREJPROP

  • Godrej Properties is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,424.

The bear case & risks

  • At 29.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹280.

GODREJPROP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GODREJPROP compounded at -28%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹792₹2,033, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GODREJPROP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
29.5%
80% range₹792–₹2,033
P(price ↑)17%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
64.9%
80% range₹280–₹1,424
P(price ↑)5%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
82.4%
80% range₹110–₹906
P(price ↑)2%
P(price 2×)0%

GODREJPROP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GODREJPROP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GODREJPROP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GODREJPROP price target & forecast page.

GODREJPROP Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GODREJPROP scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GODREJPROP MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GODREJPROP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.6%3.1×
Zerodha27.8%3.6×
DhanCHEAPEST25.6%3.9×

Compare every broker on the GODREJPROP MTF page.

GODREJPROP vs peers,Realty comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GODREJPROP (this stock)29.0×0.56%₹54,233 Cr
DLF36.7×0.96%₹1.55L Cr
OBEROIRLTY25.1×0.47%₹61,460 Cr
LODHA27.0×0.46%₹92,517 Cr
PRESTIGE54.5×0.12%₹65,137 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr

About Godrej Properties: sector, index & market-cap context

Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Realty sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹54,233 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the GODREJPROP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Godrej Properties's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GODREJPROP analysis, FAQs

Is Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) a good buy?

On the numbers, Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.0× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GODREJPROP overvalued or undervalued?

GODREJPROP trades at 29.0× earnings versus a peer median of 27.0×, so it screens richer than its Realty peers.

What is the GODREJPROP share price target for 2031?

GODREJPROP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹317, with an 80% range of ₹110₹906 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GODREJPROP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GODREJPROP reaching ₹3,592 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for GODREJPROP?

Godrej Properties is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GODREJPROP?

At 29.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on GODREJPROP