MPHASIS
Mphasis
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mphasis (MPHASIS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MPHASIS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mphasis (MPHASIS) trades at ₹2,280,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.
On the numbers, Mphasis (MPHASIS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 18.5%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MPHASIS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MPHASIS overvalued? MPHASIS P/E vs its IT
MPHASIS's P/E of 23.0× sits above the IT peer median of 16.2×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.72% dividend yield is below the peer median of 4.03%.
MPHASIS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MPHASIS history (-3%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPHASIS 2027 | ₹1,403 | ₹2,095 | ₹3,137 | -8% |
| MPHASIS 2028 | ₹1,095 | ₹1,945 | ₹3,440 | -14% |
| MPHASIS 2029 | ₹883 | ₹1,805 | ₹3,603 | -20% |
| MPHASIS 2030 | ₹728 | ₹1,649 | ₹3,708 | -27% |
| MPHASIS 2031 | ₹607 | ₹1,522 | ₹3,721 | -33% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MPHASIS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MPHASIS
- A 23.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (18.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (22.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 2.7% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,603.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹883.
MPHASIS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MPHASIS compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,403–₹3,137, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MPHASIS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MPHASIS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MPHASIS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MPHASIS price target & forecast page.
MPHASIS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MPHASIS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MPHASIS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MPHASIS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.6% | 3.4× |
| Zerodha | 25.3% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.0% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the MPHASIS MTF page.
MPHASIS vs peers,IT comparison
About Mphasis: sector, index & market-cap context
Mphasis (MPHASIS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the IT sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹43,445 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the MPHASIS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mphasis's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MPHASIS analysis, FAQs
Is Mphasis (MPHASIS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mphasis (MPHASIS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 18.5%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MPHASIS overvalued or undervalued?
MPHASIS trades at 23.0× earnings versus a peer median of 16.2×, so it screens richer than its IT peers.
What is the MPHASIS share price target for 2031?
MPHASIS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,522, with an 80% range of ₹607–₹3,721 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MPHASIS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MPHASIS reaching ₹4,535 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for MPHASIS?
A 23.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (18.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (22.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in MPHASIS?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.