Case study

ADANIPORTS

Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +8.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

55Score

Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ADANIPORTS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) trades at ₹1,694,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.

On the numbers, Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing premium at 29.4× earnings, ROE of 16.4%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ADANIPORTS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3.90L Cr
Current price
₹1,694
P/E ratio
29.4×
P/B ratio
4.07×
Book value
₹416
Dividend yield
0.44%
ROCE
14.1%
ROE
16.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How ADANIPORTS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is ADANIPORTS overvalued? ADANIPORTS P/E vs its Infrastructure

ADANIPORTS's P/E of 29.4× sits above the Infrastructure peer median of 29.4×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.44% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.73%.

ADANIPORTS P/E
29.4×
Peer median P/E
29.4×
ADANIPORTS div yield
0.44%
Peer median yield
0.73%

ADANIPORTS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ADANIPORTS history (20%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ADANIPORTS 2027₹1,249₹1,837₹2,701+8%
ADANIPORTS 2028₹1,162₹1,992₹3,415+18%
ADANIPORTS 2029₹1,101₹2,160₹4,240+28%
ADANIPORTS 2030₹1,084₹2,343₹5,065+38%
ADANIPORTS 2031₹1,062₹2,541₹6,079+50%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ADANIPORTS goes up, or doubles?

61%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
73%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,387 within 5 years

The bull case for ADANIPORTS

  • ADANIPORTS's return on equity of 16.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,837 (+8%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,240.

The bear case & risks

  • ADANIPORTS's P/E of 29.4x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,101.

ADANIPORTS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years ADANIPORTS compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,249-₹2,701, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ADANIPORTS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.5%
80% range₹1,249-₹2,701
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
27.6%
80% range₹1,101-₹4,240
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
50.1%
80% range₹1,062-₹6,079
P(price ↑)73%
P(price 2×)33%

ADANIPORTS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ADANIPORTS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ADANIPORTS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ADANIPORTS price target & forecast page.

ADANIPORTS Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ADANIPORTS scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

ADANIPORTS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ADANIPORTS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.32%3.8×
Zerodha25.40%3.9×
Groww25.49%3.9×
Dhan25.00%4.0×
Kotak Neo25.00%4.0×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST22.95%4.4×
Pocketful30.03%3.3×
Anand Rathi29.79%3.4×
Bajaj Broking30.00%3.3×
Share India29.92%3.3×

Compare every broker on the ADANIPORTS MTF page.

ADANIPORTS vs peers,Infrastructure comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
ADANIPORTS (this stock)29.4×0.44%₹3.90L Cr
LT31.7×0.94%₹5.58L Cr
RVNL55.6×0.73%₹48,660 Cr
IRB24.2×0.79%₹23,770 Cr
GMRAIRPORT544.0×0.00%₹1.13L Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
TCS16.5×2.61%₹8.87L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Infrastructure sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹3.90L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ADANIPORTS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ADANIPORTS analysis, FAQs

Is Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone Limited (ADANIPORTS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing premium at 29.4× earnings, ROE of 16.4%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ADANIPORTS overvalued or undervalued?

ADANIPORTS trades at 29.4× earnings versus a peer median of 29.4×, so it screens richer than its Infrastructure peers.

What is the ADANIPORTS share price target for 2031?

ADANIPORTS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,541, with an 80% range of ₹1,062-₹6,079 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ADANIPORTS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ADANIPORTS reaching ₹3,387 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for ADANIPORTS?

ADANIPORTS's return on equity of 16.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,837 (+8%).

What are the risks in ADANIPORTS?

ADANIPORTS's P/E of 29.4x is lower than 47% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ADANIPORTS