IRB
IRB Infrastructure Developers
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
IRB Infrastructure Developers (IRB) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IRB a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
IRB Infrastructure Developers (IRB) trades at ₹22,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, IRB Infrastructure Developers (IRB) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 4.3%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IRB fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IRB overvalued? IRB P/E vs its Infrastructure
IRB's P/E of 29.8× sits below the Infrastructure peer median of 32.5×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.71% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.70%.
IRB share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IRB history (-22%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRB 2027 | ₹11 | ₹16 | ₹25 | -24% |
| IRB 2028 | ₹7 | ₹12 | ₹22 | -42% |
| IRB 2029 | ₹5 | ₹9 | ₹19 | -56% |
| IRB 2030 | ₹3 | ₹7 | ₹16 | -67% |
| IRB 2031 | ₹2 | ₹5 | ₹14 | -74% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IRB goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IRB
- Low price-to-book of 1.25×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹19.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 4.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹5.
IRB volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IRB compounded at -22%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹11–₹25, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IRB price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IRB price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IRB hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IRB price target & forecast page.
IRB Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IRB scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
IRB MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IRB with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.9% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.9% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.9% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the IRB MTF page.
IRB vs peers,Infrastructure comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| IRB (this stock) | 29.8× | 0.71% | ₹26,197 Cr |
| LT | 35.2× | 0.90% | ₹5.78L Cr |
| ADANIPORTS | 32.5× | 0.41% | ₹4.21L Cr |
| RVNL | 58.7× | 0.70% | ₹51,308 Cr |
| GMRAIRPORT | 549.0× | 0.00% | ₹1.14L Cr |
| RELIANCE | 23.1× | 0.45% | ₹17.95L Cr |
| TCS | 14.7× | 3.01% | ₹7.69L Cr |
About IRB Infrastructure Developers: sector, index & market-cap context
IRB Infrastructure Developers (IRB) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Infrastructure sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹26,197 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the IRB Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of IRB Infrastructure Developers's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IRB analysis, FAQs
Is IRB Infrastructure Developers (IRB) a good buy?
On the numbers, IRB Infrastructure Developers (IRB) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 4.3%, a 20% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IRB overvalued or undervalued?
IRB trades at 29.8× earnings versus a peer median of 32.5×, so it screens cheaper than its Infrastructure peers.
What is the IRB share price target for 2031?
IRB's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5, with an 80% range of ₹2–₹14 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IRB doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IRB reaching ₹43 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for IRB?
Low price-to-book of 1.25×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in IRB?
At 29.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 4.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 20% chance of finishing above today's price.