Case study

GMRAIRPORT

GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +9.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

41Score

GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED (GMRAIRPORT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GMRAIRPORT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED (GMRAIRPORT) trades at ₹107,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED (GMRAIRPORT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 544.0× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GMRAIRPORT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.13L Cr
Current price
₹107
P/E ratio
544.0×
Book value
₹-2
ROCE
11.6%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GMRAIRPORT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for GMRAIRPORT, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is GMRAIRPORT overvalued? GMRAIRPORT P/E vs its Infrastructure

GMRAIRPORT's P/E of 544.0× sits above the Infrastructure peer median of 29.4×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

GMRAIRPORT P/E
544.0×
Peer median P/E
29.4×
Peer median yield
0.76%

GMRAIRPORT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GMRAIRPORT history (22%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GMRAIRPORT 2027₹81₹118₹172+10%
GMRAIRPORT 2028₹75₹129₹223+20%
GMRAIRPORT 2029₹72₹142₹278+32%
GMRAIRPORT 2030₹72₹155₹337+45%
GMRAIRPORT 2031₹72₹171₹406+59%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GMRAIRPORT goes up, or doubles?

61%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
75%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
37%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹214 within 5 years

The bull case for GMRAIRPORT

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹118 (+10%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹278.

The bear case & risks

  • GMRAIRPORT's P/E of 544.0x is lower than 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GMRAIRPORT's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹72.

GMRAIRPORT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GMRAIRPORT compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹81-₹172, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GMRAIRPORT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.7%
80% range₹81-₹172
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
32.1%
80% range₹72-₹278
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
59.1%
80% range₹72-₹406
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)37%

GMRAIRPORT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GMRAIRPORT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GMRAIRPORT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GMRAIRPORT price target & forecast page.

GMRAIRPORT Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GMRAIRPORT scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GMRAIRPORT MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GMRAIRPORT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.69%3.7×
Zerodha25.70%3.9×
Groww25.80%3.9×
Dhan25.00%4.0×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST23.38%4.3×
Pocketful30.50%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand Rathi30.16%3.3×
Bajaj Broking30.00%3.3×
Share India30.28%3.3×

Compare every broker on the GMRAIRPORT MTF page.

GMRAIRPORT vs peers,Infrastructure comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GMRAIRPORT (this stock)544.0×-₹1.13L Cr
LT31.7×0.94%₹5.58L Cr
ADANIPORTS29.4×0.44%₹3.90L Cr
RVNL55.6×0.73%₹48,660 Cr
IRB24.2×0.79%₹23,770 Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
TCS16.5×2.61%₹8.87L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED (GMRAIRPORT) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Infrastructure sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.13L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GMRAIRPORT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GMRAIRPORT analysis, FAQs

Is GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED (GMRAIRPORT) a good buy?

On the numbers, GMR AIRPORTS LIMITED (GMRAIRPORT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 544.0× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GMRAIRPORT overvalued or undervalued?

GMRAIRPORT trades at 544.0× earnings versus a peer median of 29.4×, so it screens richer than its Infrastructure peers.

What is the GMRAIRPORT share price target for 2031?

GMRAIRPORT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹171, with an 80% range of ₹72-₹406 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GMRAIRPORT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GMRAIRPORT reaching ₹214 (2×) within 5 years is 37%.

What is the bull case for GMRAIRPORT?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹118 (+10%).

What are the risks in GMRAIRPORT?

GMRAIRPORT's P/E of 544.0x is lower than 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GMRAIRPORT's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on GMRAIRPORT