Case study

GMRAIRPORT

GMR Airports Infra

High-risk on the numbers1y model +1.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

GMR Airports Infra (GMRAIRPORT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GMRAIRPORT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GMR Airports Infra (GMRAIRPORT) trades at ₹108,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, GMR Airports Infra (GMRAIRPORT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 549.0× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GMRAIRPORT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.14L Cr
Current price
₹108
P/E ratio
549.0×
Book value
₹-2
ROCE
11.6%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is GMRAIRPORT overvalued? GMRAIRPORT P/E vs its Infrastructure

GMRAIRPORT's P/E of 549.0× sits above the Infrastructure peer median of 32.5×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

GMRAIRPORT P/E
549.0×
Peer median P/E
32.5×
Peer median yield
0.70%

GMRAIRPORT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GMRAIRPORT history (6%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GMRAIRPORT 2027₹75₹110₹162+1%
GMRAIRPORT 2028₹65₹112₹192+3%
GMRAIRPORT 2029₹58₹114₹221+5%
GMRAIRPORT 2030₹53₹115₹248+6%
GMRAIRPORT 2031₹49₹116₹274+6%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GMRAIRPORT goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
17%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹218 within 5 years

The bull case for GMRAIRPORT

  • GMR Airports Infra is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹221.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 549.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 1.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹58.

GMRAIRPORT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GMRAIRPORT compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹75₹162, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GMRAIRPORT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.3%
80% range₹75–₹162
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.7%
80% range₹58–₹221
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.3%
80% range₹49–₹274
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)17%

GMRAIRPORT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GMRAIRPORT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GMRAIRPORT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GMRAIRPORT price target & forecast page.

GMRAIRPORT Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GMRAIRPORT scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

GMRAIRPORT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GMRAIRPORT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.8%3.2×
Zerodha26.3%3.8×
DhanCHEAPEST25.0%4.0×

Compare every broker on the GMRAIRPORT MTF page.

GMRAIRPORT vs peers,Infrastructure comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GMRAIRPORT (this stock)549.0×₹1.14L Cr
LT35.2×0.90%₹5.78L Cr
ADANIPORTS32.5×0.41%₹4.21L Cr
RVNL58.7×0.70%₹51,308 Cr
IRB29.8×0.71%₹26,197 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr

About GMR Airports Infra: sector, index & market-cap context

GMR Airports Infra (GMRAIRPORT) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Infrastructure sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.14L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the GMRAIRPORT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GMR Airports Infra's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GMRAIRPORT analysis, FAQs

Is GMR Airports Infra (GMRAIRPORT) a good buy?

On the numbers, GMR Airports Infra (GMRAIRPORT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 549.0× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GMRAIRPORT overvalued or undervalued?

GMRAIRPORT trades at 549.0× earnings versus a peer median of 32.5×, so it screens richer than its Infrastructure peers.

What is the GMRAIRPORT share price target for 2031?

GMRAIRPORT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹116, with an 80% range of ₹49₹274 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GMRAIRPORT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GMRAIRPORT reaching ₹218 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.

What is the bull case for GMRAIRPORT?

GMR Airports Infra is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GMRAIRPORT?

A rich 549.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 1.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on GMRAIRPORT