BLUESTARCO
Blue Star
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is BLUESTARCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) trades at ₹1,665,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 61.5× earnings, ROE of 17.1%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
BLUESTARCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is BLUESTARCO overvalued? BLUESTARCO P/E vs its Consumer
BLUESTARCO's P/E of 61.5× sits above the Consumer peer median of 56.3×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.51% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.60%.
BLUESTARCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of BLUESTARCO history (-1%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLUESTARCO 2027 | ₹971 | ₹1,546 | ₹2,497 | -7% |
| BLUESTARCO 2028 | ₹726 | ₹1,439 | ₹2,832 | -14% |
| BLUESTARCO 2029 | ₹578 | ₹1,324 | ₹3,052 | -21% |
| BLUESTARCO 2030 | ₹469 | ₹1,224 | ₹3,174 | -27% |
| BLUESTARCO 2031 | ₹387 | ₹1,138 | ₹3,357 | -32% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability BLUESTARCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for BLUESTARCO
- A healthy 17.1% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (21.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,052.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 61.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 10.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹578.
BLUESTARCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years BLUESTARCO compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹971–₹2,497, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
BLUESTARCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
BLUESTARCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds BLUESTARCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the BLUESTARCO price target & forecast page.
BLUESTARCO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. BLUESTARCO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
BLUESTARCO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy BLUESTARCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.5% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 26.9% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.5% | 4.1× |
Compare every broker on the BLUESTARCO MTF page.
BLUESTARCO vs peers,Consumer comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| BLUESTARCO (this stock) | 61.5× | 0.51% | ₹34,246 Cr |
| ASIANPAINT | 57.7× | 1.03% | ₹2.56L Cr |
| TITAN | 75.4× | 0.25% | ₹3.88L Cr |
| HAVELLS | 43.8× | 0.85% | ₹74,032 Cr |
| BERGEPAINT | 54.9× | 0.69% | ₹64,031 Cr |
| KALYANKJIL | 28.6× | 0.39% | ₹39,358 Cr |
About Blue Star: sector, index & market-cap context
Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Consumer sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹34,246 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the BLUESTARCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Blue Star's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
BLUESTARCO analysis, FAQs
Is Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Blue Star (BLUESTARCO) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 61.5× earnings, ROE of 17.1%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is BLUESTARCO overvalued or undervalued?
BLUESTARCO trades at 61.5× earnings versus a peer median of 56.3×, so it screens richer than its Consumer peers.
What is the BLUESTARCO share price target for 2031?
BLUESTARCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,138, with an 80% range of ₹387–₹3,357 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability BLUESTARCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of BLUESTARCO reaching ₹3,337 (2×) within 5 years is 10%.
What is the bull case for BLUESTARCO?
A healthy 17.1% return on equity. Strong ROCE (21.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in BLUESTARCO?
A rich 61.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 10.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.